Icing The Hype
May 26, 2007
Welcome to “Apocaholics Anonymous “ Join Me in a Crusade for Panic Free Living

Gary Alexander, Recovering Apocaholic, Speech at Atlanta Investment Conference

Hi, I’m Gary and I’m a recovering Apocaholic. I am currently Apocalypse free for nearly 18 years....Yes, I still feel the urge to proclaim the end of all things, from time to time, but I white-knuckle my way to a history book for a little perspective, and then I breathe easier. If you wish to join AA, the only requirement is that you give up the adrenaline rush of media-fed fantasies. (Note: Gary went on to describe some of those impending doom scenarios we have somehow managed to survive - here are some excerpts)

Rachel Carson (1907-1964) published “Silent Spring” in 1962, based on a compilation of articles she had written for The New Yorker.  Her book is credited with launching the environmental movement that culminated in Earth Day (1970), including a worldwide ban on the main villain in her book, DDT...which has caused the deaths of millions of Asians and Africans since then.  Many insect-borne diseases were on the verge of extinction in 1970, when the U.S. tied foreign aid to poor nations to their “voluntary” banning of DDT, to our great shame.

Then came Paul Ehrlich’s “The Population Bomb” (1968), in which he opened famously by saying, “The battle to feed humanity is over. In the 1970s and 1980s, hundreds of millions of people will starve to death, in spite of any crash programs embarked upon now.” Over 65 million Americans would starve in the 1980s, leaving only 22.6 million starved Americans alive in 1990.  In 1990, he incredibly justified his claims as being right - a trait common to Doomsday prophets.

Then 30 Years Ago - Global Cooling and “The Next Ice Age”.Newsweek, April 28, 1975 said that leading climate scientists were “almost unanimous” (sound familiar?) in their predictions of global cooling.  Time Magazine had “The Coming Ice Age” on its cover, and the November 1976 issue of National Geographic had a lead article on the problem of global cooling.  Later on, physicists combined the threat of natural cooling with nuclear war to predict a “Nuclear Winter.” Our future was clearly frigid.  The trend from 1935 through 1975 was a gradual cooling of temperatures, since the Dust Bowl of the 1930s. (Most record-high state temperatures, to this day, were set in the 1930s, not in the 1990s, Mr. Gore.)

Read full speech here

May 22, 2007
Australian TV to Air Global Warming Swindle Video

By Michael Gadd, news.com.au

A controversial British documentary which claims global warming is a lie will be shown by the ABC. The Great Global Warming Swindle, to be aired by the national broadcaster in July, is the ideological opposite to Al Gore’s acclaimed movie An Inconvenient Truth. The documentary rebuts mounting scientific evidence that global warming is caused predominantly by human activity, and says it’s the result of changes in radiation from the sun.

The film’s credibility, some of its contributors and its maker, Martin Durkin, came under heavy questioning by scientists and the media after it aired on Britain’s Channel 4 in March.  Channel 4 defended the film, as has ABC director of television Kim Dalton, on the basis that all sides of the hotly contested global warming debate deserved to be represented.  “Currently the issue of global warming is being debated around the world,” Mr Dalton said. “This documentary presents a controversial side to that debate.” See full story here. You may also see Great Global Warming Swindle from WAG-TV4 here

UPDATE: See uproar the decision has had in this Herald Sun story.

May 20, 2007
15 Year Old Portland, ME Schoolgirl Review of An Inconvenient Truth - Paunder the Maunder

by Kristen Byrnes , courtesy of the New Zealand Climate Science Coalition and the EPW Blog

Global warming is an issue of great importance. Let there be no doubt, the evidence is overwhelming: Earth is warming. The questions that remain are;
1) What is the cause of the global warming?  Is it man made atmospheric carbon dioxide? Or is the cause of global warming natural variability?
2) How will politicians spend money while waiting for the answer to question #1?

I will demonstrate that the Earth’s warming climate is a result of natural variance and that man made changes in the warming climate in the last 40 years are negligible at best. I will insert pieces of the puzzle from new scientific studies that were not available or were ignored in previous global warming studies.

I add a possible piece of the puzzle, nuclear weapons testing in the late 1950’s and early 1960’s, that may have made a small contribution to cooling at that time. After reviewing numerous scientific studies and observing data, it is clear that the theory that “man made increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide are causing global warming” is not likely.

I will demonstrate that a negative trend in the El Nino Southern Oscillation (more and stronger La Ninas) from 1945 to 1975 and a postive trend in the ENSO from 1975 to present (more and stronger El Ninos) correlates better with global temperature changes than greenhouse theory.  Thus, ENSO is probably the largest contributor to global warming in the past 30 years.

The economic and political climate surrounding this issue has made it nearly impossible for scientists and researchers to objectively view the mountain of recent data.  While I will use much of the available and updated scientific data, I will also interject common sense, something that is seriously lacking in the debate on this issue.  See Kristen Byrnes Paunder the Maunder Report/Website

UPDATE: Kristen correctly called for the end of 6 year drought as El Nino fades. See Drought Busting Forecast

May 20, 2007
Alas, Now Even The Weather Channel Has Lost Its Way

By Joe D’Aleo, Icecap

Forecast Earth, the latest bad decision by The Weather Channel, is yet another example of how a good idea can go bad. The Weather Channel was started 25years ago with the idea of providing reliable and accurate weather information when you need it. That meant 24 hours a day 7 days a week.

It has taken a turn in recent years to being more and more part time weather and part-time “Discovery Channel”. Now with ‘Forecast Earth’, advocacy and hype have replaced down to earth real-time weather coverage and forecasting. You don’t get weather when you need it anymore, just when they choose to give it to you. A few years back, they were embarrassed when an outbreak of tornadoes had people tuning to The Weather Channel and finding a special about growing flower bulbs in Holland.

Now Heidi Cullen is telling us what could happen if the most souped up climate models are right and the earth warms significantly. I guess they ran out of storm stories recounting real weather disasters. They are now inventing possible future ones with disaster stories reminiscent of ‘An Inconvenient Truth’ or ‘Day after Tomorrow’. 

And ironically not only are they buying without question the faulty climate models for the future, they even get the actual changes that have occurred wrong. “Alaska Meltdown” a recent featured story still on the website is the latest example. See where they went wrong here

May 18, 2007
State Climatologist Not Jumping on Global Warming Bandwagon

By Joey Vaughan, The Commercial Dispatch On-line

Many people who saw “An Inconvenient Truth,” a global warming documentary featuring Al Gore, immediately became very concerned about global climate change and impending weather disasters. Don’t count state climatologist Dr. Charles Wax of Mississippi State University as one of them.

“First off, there isn’t a consensus among scientists,” Wax told the Columbus Rotary Club Tuesday. “Don’t let anybody tell you there is.” Wax spent much of his presentation telling the audience how the global climate is cyclical. It’s always gone through periods of warming and cooling. As for cries of impending doom, Wax says there’s tons of data on both sides - and man’s ever-changing weather monitoring capability further clouds the picture. The climate is changing, Wax admits - but it’s always changing and always has. See full story here

May 17, 2007
For the Oil Companies, Public Rhetoric = Big Profits

Micheal Economides, Professor, Cullen School of Engineering Featured Story in the Energy Tribune

Skeptics are continuously accused of being shills for big oil. Despite what some alarmists and media perceive and/or want you to believe, big oil is not anti global warming, not at least anymore. In this featured story by Michael Economides, Professor, Cullen College of Engineering, University of Houston, he tells us why.

Al Gore is a darling of the oil companies. They also really love peak-oil Cassandras and are enamored with energy alternatives like biofuels, wind, and solar. The myths du jour, preposterous and transparently idiotic as they may be, are not opposed by the presumed bogeymen in the oil industry, the supposed culprits of the situation. In fact, it is in the oil companies’ interest to promote the myths and even prolong them.

Reality: Man-made global warming is a sinister hoax. After a desperate literature search over four years, involving as many as 30 engineering and science graduate students, we have yet to come up with one professional paper that shows a quantitive causality between increased carbon dioxide and enhanced global temperature. This means there is not one paper in the literature of heat transfer or thermodynamics that shows the physics of global warming in a quantified way, using well-known laws or principles. There are, however, many arm-waving and postulating writings, often in the popular press, all referencing the other “hundreds of papers.”Read full story here

May 15, 2007
Murdoch To Push Climate Change Propaganda

Alex Jones, Infowars.net

Rupert Murdoch’s News Corporation is to push climate change propaganda through it’s programming and media output in an effort to cause people to change their behavior and become more green. At an event held this morning in midtown Manhattan and webcast to all News Corp. employees, Murdoch vowed to “weave climate messaging into the content and programming of News Corp.’s many holdings.”

“The challenge is to revolutionize the [climate change] message,” Murdoch told the crowd. He emphasized the need to “make it dramatic, make it vivid, even sometimes make it fun. We want to inspire people to change their behavior.”

Murdoch’s media empire encompasses Fox News, 20th Century Fox, HarperCollins, MySpace.com, and dozens of newspapers in Australia, the U.K., the U.S., and beyond. Read full story here

May 15, 2007
A World Full of Good News

By Jeff Jacoby, Boston Globe Columnist

Feeling crowded? Paul Watson is. The founder and president of the Sea Shepherd Conservation Society writes that human overpopulation is “a virus . . . killing our host the planet Earth,” and so the number of people living in the world should be slashed by 85 percent.

“No human community should be larger than 20,000 people,” Watson insists in a new essay. “We need to radically and intelligently reduce human populations to fewer than one billion.” He describes mankind as “the AIDS of the Earth,” and calls for an end to cars, planes, and all ships save those powered by sail.

The views of a fanatic? Yes, but Watson is also a co founder of Greenpeace and a former member of the Sierra Club board of directors, not to mention one of Time magazine’s 20th-century environmental “heroes.” It is unlikely that his support for eliminating 5.5 billion human beings and most modern conveniences will hurt his standing among the green elite.

But that’s not what the evidence shows.  Just before the turn of the 19th century, when the Earth was home to some 980 million human beings. The global population today is about 6.5 billion, a sevenfold increase. If the alarmists are right, our lives should be far more impoverished, degraded, and pitiful than those of our ancestors. But they aren’t. By and large, human beings today are healthier, wealthier, safer, cleaner, better fed, and more productive than those who lived in 1800.

Anyone tempted to dismiss such a claim as naive should spend some time with Indur Goklany’s “The Improving State of the World,” a new compendium of data making the case that as nations grow wealthier, the quality of human life rises. Take food. Since 1950, the world’s population has soared by more than 150 percent. Yet food has become so abundant that global food prices (in real terms) have plunged 75 percent. Life expectancy? From 31 years in 1900, it was up to 66.8 worldwide in 2003.

Humanity, though more populous and still imperfect, has never been in better condition,” he writes. Our lives are better than our ancestors’. Our descendants’ can be better than ours. See Jacoby’s full story

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