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Monday, October 24, 2022
Drought-Stricken Mississippi River slows or halts grain barge traffic

Joseph D’Aleo, CCM

Barges on Drought-Striken Mississippi River Dead in the Water,’ Causing Severe Supply Chain Issues (See Epoch Times story).

“I’ve never seen it this bad,” said Worsham, who’s been with the company for over 20 years. “We had water [levels] close to this in 2012. But it was August, and it wasn’t the harvesting season. It wasn’t a big deal for us.”

At the height of the corn and soybean harvest, and with tons of products waiting to be shipped, Worsham remains optimistic.

“A lot of the soybeans have been stored on the barges. We’ll be down a little bit on volume and stretched out. We’ll be able to get the bushels [out]. It’s just going to take longer,” he told The Epoch Times.

In recent weeks, hundreds of barges have become stalled in the receding Mississippi, caught in the lower depths. In early October, some 2,000 barges reportedly clogged the channels in long pileups along the river south of Memphis.

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Barges sit in the port facility at Poinsett Rice & Grain in Osceola, Ark., on Oct. 20, 2022. Behind the barges, the river tributary’s water line has been receding for months in the continuing drought. (Allan Stein/The Epoch Times)

But as water levels continue to fall, it allows less room for the barges to navigate and more opportunities to become stuck, said Ben Lerner, vice president of public affairs for the American Waterways Operators, a national trade association.

Lerner said the Mississippi River at a historically low level presents a significant challenge for the nation’s supply chain.

“In some spots in the river, it is at its lowest level since 1988, so it’s a real challenge for the supply chain and our industry,” Lerner told The Epoch Times.

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ICECAP NOTES:

The drought was expected in this third year of La Nina. Note in this plot of US drought and El Nino (red) and La Nina (blue), drought coverage in the US spikes in La Ninas, especially multiyear and strong ones.

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Notice the mention of 2011 and 1988, See above 2011 had drought.

See the current drought areas.

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See 2011 and 2012

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See 1988

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The La Nina droughts also affected crop yields. See the drop in 2011 and especially 2012.

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But you will notice the yields these recent drought years was much higher that 2012 and especially 1988. The reason is increased irrigation in places like Nebraska and western Kansas and drought resistant corn and also increases in the critical natural fertilizer, CO2. BTW, 1993 dropped because of record flooding in a strong El Nino with help from seeding from Pinatubo.

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Posted on 10/24 at 06:53 AM
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Friday, September 30, 2022
Data Driven Perspective on Ian and Hurricane Trends

Joseph D’Aleo, CCM

Ian made landfall as a strong CAT4 storm. The damage will rank among that with the past worst storms. Its’ life is not over as it will landfall again in South Carolina with rain the biggest story to come.

See the trends per decade of landfalling Florida hurricanes and major hurricanes since 1850.

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Here is a listing of the Major Hurricane landfalls in Florida.

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My compadre, Joe Bastardi noted on Hannity “There were SIX hurricanes that hit the Southern part of Florida, below a line from Tampa to Cape Canaveral on the Atlantic in the last 57 years. If you look at the prior 50 years, there were SIXTEEN strikes!”

Dr. Neil Frank, longest serving Hurricane Center Director advises::

“Without question the most reliable indicator of a trend in hurricane activity in the Atlantic is to focus on land falling major hurricanes (3-5) in the mainline U.S. I doubt if a major hurricane could have hit the U.S. in the 1800s without being noticed, while a minor hurricane in a remote area could have been undetected so it is important to concentrate on major hurricanes. It is important to emphasize that the rainfall in a tropical system is not related to the intensity but depends on the forward speed of motion. In the case of Harvey, the weakening hurricane stalled over southeast Texas for three days. Finally, as you know the most active hurricane season in the U.S. was 1886 when 7 hurricanes hit the Gulf coast. One of the major hurricanes in Texas destroyed Indianola on the south shore of Matagorda Bay. At one time there were around 20,000 people in the city before a prior major hurricane in 1875 did major damage. The only thing in Indianola today is a cemetery with numerous headstones with dates 1875 or 1886 ”

The US trend like Florida is down.

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Ian encountered a ‘cool’ upper trough and large, chilly surface high to the north, which deflected it northeast through Florida before feeding off the Gulf Stream to become a hurricane again and resuming its journey poleward.

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See Ian’s track for landfall #2.

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I have added a landfall to South Carolina chart as probably a CAT 1. The trend too here is down. The 1890s was the big decade. The most recent landfalling major was Hugo, a CAT4 in 1989.

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See the heavy rains coming inland again the next several days.

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See the latest Sea Surface Temperature anomaly chart. The La Nina cold water shows in the Pacific and warm pools in the northwest Pacific and northwest Atlantic.

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These are due to a lack of early to mid-season hurricanes in these areas (until one developed and tracked to the Bering Sea and Alaska). Hurricanes usually track these areas in the late summer and fall. The tropics heat up with the intense high in the sky sun in the summer. Currents carry some of that heat north but this is slow and nature created hurricanes to speed the process. If these warm pools persist they can affect the winter patterns.

By the way, here is a document with trends for all the east and Gulf States. Only Alabama has an uptrend. But Alabama maximum average temperatures yearly since 1895 have declined for May to October.

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Bjorn Lomborg, author of ‘False Alarm; ‘Cool It’ and ‘Skeptical Environmentalist’, president Copenhagen Consensus think tank smart solutions through economic prioritization blogs “Climate’related deaths are down 98% in the last 100 years thanks to our access to energy.”

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See a very detailed summary of the media's lies about the real trends by Michael Schellenberger here.

See Alex Epstein’s 25 myths about extreme weather, refuted

Posted on 09/30 at 08:13 AM
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Monday, September 12, 2022
Gasoline and food prices shock just a preview - see scary story abroad coming this way

Farmers a target too!

“Greens don’t want to get rid of fossil fuels, they want to get rid of modern life. Fossil Fuels just happen to be in the way.”

Bjorn Lomborg

79% of all global energy comes from fossil fuels, renewables produce 16%, most of it from wood (11%) and hydro (3%), solar + wind is 1.8% of global primary energy!

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iframe width="210" height="190" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/I49iDDi1Pb4" title=""It’s Getting REALLY Serious” WHY IS NOBODY TALKING ABOUT THIS? Jordan Peterson(2022)” frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture” allowfullscreen>

Joseph D’Aleo, CCM

Skyrocketing gasoline prices are really just the start of an energy crisis in the making for all the energy we use in our lives and homes.  We look at that in detail with special focus in the northeastern part of the country, which is subject to heat and extreme cold, which makes us especially vulnerable to rising energy costs and its availability.

GASOLINE

Gas prices have skyrocketed under Biden. In the economic Obama administration, you may recall gas prices had soared to $4 per gallon and the administration warned of $8 gas. It dropped and rose again to $4 but in the Trump administration energy independence crusade, the prices dropped by 50%.

The good old days were prior to 9/11 with February 1999 at $1.01/gallon. Family of 4 with 2 cars driving a total of 24,000 miles/year with 24 mph/gallon would have spent $1000.  In January 2020 prices had after a spike declined to just under $2/gallon and a family would have spent about $2000 on gasoline.

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By June of this year, gas prices skyrocketed to $5 or higher.  JP Morgan warned of $6 gas, which translates to $6000.

This would result in an INCREASE of $4000 under Biden for families who must travel to work.

Prices dropped as the public rebelled and the administration removed oil from the strategic oil reserve and imported oil from China. It is a temporary move to try and save the midterm election. Rest assured prices will resume its upward climb after the election in the democrats maintain control.

It should be noted in the Obama administration, they thought $8 gasoline would accelerate the move to electric vehicles. If Biden stubbornly pushes gasoline to $8. The impact of a return to June levels would be $4000 and eventually $6000 to families who can not afford the big investment in electric vehicles. They would see AN INCREASE OF $4-6000.

HEATING OIL/GAS

In New England, the heating season begins early and ends late. Prices often rise some in colder winters due to demand and supply issues but now large scale supply issues are growing and we saw prices skyrocket in 2022.

In January 2021 I paid $2.55/gallon for heating oil by May 2022 rose to $5.999/gallon, a 235% increase. As of mid July, prices are still high $5.83/gallon.
The $3854 in 2021 would become $9057, AN INCREASE OF $5,200.

Natural gas prices similarly (Henry Hub) rose in 2020 an 2021.

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They have skyrocketed after August 2021 and now stand at $6.81 (4.1 times the level of 2020).

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ELECTRICITY

In recent decades, electricity prices in nations that took a aggressive green agenda increased to levels 3 to 5 times higher than the US. This chart prepared by an Australian organization using EIA data from the US showed that.

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More (some long lasting) blackouts occurring as wind and solar are unreliable!! Many households are said to be in “energy poverty” (25% UK, 15% Germany). Elderly and retirees on fixed income often are forced to “choose between heating and eating”

Here in the US, the states with the highest EIA electricity prices all sectors (c/kwh):
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Here in the US, for these states, the greatest change since 2020 (c/kwh):
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US STEPS BACKWARD INTO AN ENERGY ABYSS

Electricity is about to start rising or even jumping by at least 50% as the US pushes wind and solar. Other energy pundits expect that a doubling is likely. Remember, in Europe and Australia, who led the way on a green agenda, they pay 3 times what we paid.

The northeast states are already paying much more as part of the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI), a cooperative, market-based effort among the states of Connecticut, Delaware, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, Rhode Island, Vermont, and Virginia to cap and reduce CO 2 emissions from the power sector. See how they rank in the top 10 with California and Michigan.

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In a modest well-insulated two story home I spent $2136 in 2021. The biggest bills come in the hot summer months and around Christmas (lights). A doubling of rate would translate to AN INCREASE OF $2100

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Current trends suggest average electricity prices will at last triple by the end of a decade, a decade that began with the US being energy independent.

THE DAMAGE - INCREASES IN ENERGY COSTS

GASOLINE - $4,000 (eventually to 6,000)
HEATING FUELS - $5,200
ELECTRICITY - $4,300

TOTAL INCREASE over $13,000
TOTAL ENERGY COSTS over $20,000

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This is not to be taken lightly.

Note Countries In Europe and in Australia, that went heavily green, brownouts and blackouts occurred not unlike what the US saw in Texas in 2021 during the cold and heavy snow and snow that froze turbines. 

Many deaths occur in cold when the lights go out. In fact research has shown, 10 to more than 20% more deaths occur in the cold than heat. An international study analyzing over 74 million deaths in 384 locations across 13 countries. The findings were published in The Lancet.

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In countries like the US, Canada and the UK, they track mortality in winter - a metric called Excess Winter Mortality.

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Countries rushed to build coal plants to provide base load or import natural gas from Russia and keep the lights on. France invested in modern nuclear. Others relied on old reliable coal.

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The greens objected to dirty coal. They started importing natural gas - from Russia. By the way Russian natural gas in 2017/18 saved NH from going dark in the extreme cold on late December and early January.

The Russian war has many European countries planning to use coal this upcoming winter to keep the power going in the cold. This is true even as our nation, two years ago energy independent, is moving to abandon our energy dominance for a not ready for primetime gamble on renewables. 

Will Biden say we just have to tough it out so we can reach their green dream that in countries in Europe turned into a nightmare?

UK could signal an unravelling of the master plan - see this from Buddy Menton at the Manhattan Contrarian.

See also in this video how the radical attacks include eliminating nitrogen fertilizer impacting food supply in a major way.

Posted on 09/12 at 12:45 AM
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Friday, August 26, 2022
Genocidal Green Quotes from a post 10 years ago

Before you follow quietly the radical dictates of the world’s political leaders, you should take a look at their real motivations in their ownwords. You see it is all about power, control and Maltusian philosophy that the earth has limited resources and too many people and that the world through some organizing force (farce) like the UN could remedy that.

In Eco Tyranny, meteorologist Brian Sussman (story below) writes that the environmentalist movement isn’t about protecting the environment at all, it’s about destroying private property, controlling behavior, and expanding government - and the Obama administration has a secret plan to further all of it.

As Earth Day 2012 occurs on Sunday, April 22, Alan Caruba offers a selection of quotes from leading figures in the environmental movement that are worth reading so that you can draw your own conclusions:

In a 2012 story penned here, I provided perspective on the movement and their real motivations.

David Evans, who consulted for the Australian Greenhouse Office (now the Department of Climate Change) 1999-2005 and 1998-2010, and was a believer in AGW until the evidence supporting the idea that CO2 emissions were the main cause of global warming reversed itself in 1998 to 2006, when he became a skeptic.

“The AGW scam involves a “regulating class” of believers, consisting of the UN, western governments, major banks and finance houses, NGOs and greenies, totalitarian leftists, government-funded scientists, academia, renewables corporations and the mainstream news media. Against them are the doubters: independently-funded scientists, private-sector middle class, and amateurs. The regulating class does not try to hide its belief that it is cleverer and morally superior. Their solution is regulation of the whole world’s economy by themselves, which was the object at the failed Copenhagen climate conference. On climate change, the regulating class has won over the leadership of most professional and business organizations by lobbying and pressure.”

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Eisenhower’s farewell address to the nation

“The free university, historically the fountainhead of free ideas and scientific discovery, has experienced a revolution in the conduct of research. Partly because of the huge costs involved, a government contract becomes virtually a substitute for intellectual curiosity. For every old blackboard there are now hundreds of new electronic computers.

The prospect of domination of the nation’s scholars by federal employment, project allocations, and the power of money is ever present - and is gravely to be regarded. Yet in holding scientific research and discovery in respect, as we should, we must also be alert to the equal and opposite danger that public policy could itself become the captive of a scientific-technological elite.”

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Vaclav Klaus, President of the Czech Republic, visited Australia in July 2011. In referring to the ideological orientations of those individuals and organizations who have significant financial and other vested interests in propagating the Doctrine. of anthropogenic induced climate change, President Klaus said: “They want to change us, to change our behavior, our way of life, our values and preferences, they want to restrict our freedom because they themselves believe they know what is good for us. They are not interested in climate. They misuse the climate in their goal to restrict our freedom. What is endangered is freedom, the climate is okay.”

After noting that today’s human-induced climate change alarmists are the ideological descendants of the zero and negative population growth advocates of the 1970s who erroneously forecast that human population pressures would lead to increases in global poverty and growing shortages in resources, President Klaus went on to add: “They hate us, the humans, they consider us selfish and sinful creatures who must be controlled by them. I used to live in a similar world - called communism - and I know that it led to the worst environmental damage the world has ever experienced.”

Even the Royal Society has taken a Malthusian direction, and should no longer be regarded as credible on science.

SEEN IN THEIR OWN WORDS:HERE Here are just a few examples:

* Maurice Strong, senior advisor to Kofi Annan, U.N. Secretary-General who chaired the gigantic (40,000 participants) “U.N. Conference on Environment and Development” in Rio de Janeiro in 1992 , who was responsible for putting together the Kyoto Protocol with thousands of bureaucrats, diplomats, and politicians, stated: “We may get to the point where the only way of saving the world will be for industrial civilization to collapse...isn’t it our job to bring that about"]

* “In searching for a new enemy to unite us, we came up with the idea that pollution, the threat of global warming, water shortages, famine and the like would fit the bill...All these dangers are caused by human intervention...and thus the “real enemy, then, is humanity itself...believe humanity requires a common motivation, namely a common adversary in order to realize world government. It does not matter if this common enemy is “a real one or...one invented for the purpose.” Quote by the Club of Rome.

* Timothy Wirth, U.S. Undersecretary of State for Global Issues, seconded Strong’s statement: “We have got to ride the global warming issue. Even if the theory of global warming is wrong, we will be doing the right thing in terms of economic policy and environmental policy.”

* Richard Benedick, a deputy assistant secretary of state who headed policy divisions of the U.S. State Department, stated: “A global warming treaty must be implemented even if there is no scientific evidence to back the [enhanced] greenhouse effect.:

* The data doesn’t matter. We’re not basing our recommendations on the data. We’re basing them on the climate models.” - Prof. Chris Folland, Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research

* :The models are convenient fictions that provide something very useful.” - Dr David Frame, Climate modeler, Oxford University

* “It doesn’t matter what is true, it only matters what people believe is true.” - Paul Watson, Co-founder of Greenpeace

* “Unless we announce disasters no one will listen.” - Sir John Houghton, First chairman of the IPCC

* “No matter if the science of global warming is all phony… climate change provides the greatest opportunity to bring about justice and equality in the world.” - Christine Stewart, former Canadian Minister of the Environment

* IPCC official Ottmar Edenhofer in November 2010 admitted “one has to free oneself from the illusion that international climate policy is environmental policy”. Instead, climate change policy is about how “we redistribute de facto the world’s wealth...”

* “The only hope for the world is to make sure there is not another United States. We can’t let other countries have the same number of cars, the amount of industrialization, we have in the US. We have to stop these Third World countries right where they are.” - Michael Oppenheimer, Environmental Defense Fund

* “In searching for a new enemy to unite us, we came up with the idea that pollution, the threat of global warming, water shortages, famine and the like would fit the bill.” - Club of Rome, The First Global Revolution

* “We must make this an insecure and inhospitable place for capitalists and their projects. We must reclaim the roads and plowed land, halt dam construction, tear down existing dams, free shackled rivers and return to wilderness millions of acres of presently settled land."- David Foreman, co-founder of Earth First!

* “Complex technology of any sort is an assault on human dignity. It would be little short of disastrous for us to discover a source of clean, cheap, abundant energy, because of what we might do with it.” - Amory Lovins, Rocky Mountain Institute

* “Giving society cheap, abundant energy would be the equivalent of giving an idiot child a machine gun.” - Prof Paul Ehrlich, Stanford University

* “My three main goals would be to reduce human population to about 100 million worldwide (we are now at 6.8 billion), destroy the industrial infrastructure and see wilderness, with it’s full complement of species, returning throughout the world.” - Dave Foreman, co-founder of Earth First!

* “Current lifestyles and consumption patterns of the affluent middle class - involving high meat intake, use of fossil fuels, appliances, air-conditioning, and suburban housing - are not sustainable.” - Maurice Strong, Rio Earth Summit (THE REASON FOR THE PUSH TO ALTERNATIVE GREEN ENERGY WHICH WOULD CAUSE COSTS TO SKYROCKET AND MAKE ITS USE UNAFFORDABLE).

* “Humans on the Earth behave in some ways like a pathogenic micro-organism, or like the cells of a tumor.” - Sir James Lovelock, Healing Gaia

* “The Earth has cancer and the cancer is Man.” - Club of Rome, Mankind at the Turning Point

* “A cancer is an uncontrolled multiplication of cells, the population explosion is an uncontrolled multiplication of people. We must shift our efforts from the treatment of the symptoms to the cutting out of the cancer. The operation will demand many apparently brutal and heartless decisions.” - Prof. Paul Ehrlich, The Population Bomb

* “A reasonable estimate for an industrialized world society at the present North American material standard of living would be 1 billion. At the more frugal European standard of living, 2 to 3 billion would be possible.” - United Nations, Global Biodiversity Assessment

* “A total population of 250-300 million people, a 95% decline from present levels, would be ideal.” - Ted Turner, founder of CNN and major UN donor

* “… the resultant ideal sustainable population is hence more than 500 million but less than one billion.” - Club of Rome, Goals for Mankind

* “One America burdens the earth much more than twenty Bangladeshes. This is a terrible thing to say in order to stabilize world population, we must eliminate 350,000 people per day. It is a horrible thing to say, but it’s just as bad not to say it.” - Jacques Cousteau, UNESCO Courier

* “I suspect that eradicating small pox was wrong. It played an important part in balancing ecosystems.” - John Davis, editor of Earth First! Journal

* “The extinction of the human species may not only be inevitable but a good thing.” - Christopher Manes, Earth First!

* “Childbearing should be a punishable crime against society, unless the parents hold a government license. All potential parents should be required to use contraceptive chemicals, the government issuing antidotes to citizens chosen for childbearing.” - David Brower, first Executive Director of the Sierra Club

* “It doesn’t matter what is true, it only matters what people believe is true.” - Paul Watson, co-founder of Greenpeace

* “The only way to get our society to truly change is to frighten people with the possibility of a catastrophe.” - emeritus professor Daniel Botkin

* “We are on the verge of a global transformation. All we need is the right major crisis.” - David Rockefeller, Club of Rome executive manager

* “Climate Change will result in a catastrophic, global seal level rise of seven meters. That’s bye-bye most of Bangladesh, Netherlands, Florida and would make London the new Atlantis.” - Greenpeace International (It has risen less than 7 inches in 100 years and is decelerating)

* “We are close to a time when all of humankind will envision a global agenda that encompasses a kind of Global Marshall Plan to address the causes of poverty and suffering and environmental destruction all over the earth.” - Al Gore, Earth in the Balance

* “The earth is literally our mother, not only because we depend on her for nurture and shelter but even more because the human species has been shaped by her in the womb of evolution. Our salvation depends upon our ability to create a religion of nature.” - Rene Dubos, board member Planetary Citizens

* “A keen and anxious awareness is evolving to suggest that fundamental changes will have to take place in the world order and its power structures, in the distribution of wealth and income.” - Club of Rome, Mankind at the Turning Point

* “Effective execution of Agenda 21 will require a profound reorientation of all human society, unlike anything the world has ever experienced - a major shift in the priorities of both governments and individuals and an unprecedented redeployment of human and financial resources. This shift will demand that a concern for the environmental consequences of every human action be integrated into individual and collective decision-making at every level.” - UN Agenda 21

* “Democracy is not a panacea. It cannot organize everything and it is unaware of its own limits. These facts must be faced squarely. Sacrilegious though this may sound, democracy is no longer well suited for the tasks ahead. The complexity and the technical nature of many of today’s problems do not always allow elected representatives to make competent decisions at the right time.” - Club of Rome, The First Global Revolution

* “In my view, after fifty years of service in the United National system, I perceive the utmost urgency and absolute necessity for proper Earth government. There is no shadow of a doubt that the present political and economic systems are no longer appropriate and will lead to the end of life evolution on this planet. We must therefore absolutely and urgently look for new ways.” - Dr. Robert Muller, UN Assistant Secretary General

* “Nations are in effect ceding portions of their sovereignty to the international community and beginning to create a new system of international environmental governance as a means of solving otherwise unmanageable crises.” - Lester Brown, WorldWatch Institute

See most ridiculous enviro claims here.

Also see this. PLEASE NOTE THE DATE…

A United Nations meeting on the environment opened Monday with an official forecast that the world faces an ecological disaster as final as nuclear war within a couple of decades unless governments act now. Lack of such action would bring “by the turn of the century, an environmental catastrophe which will witness devastation as complete, as irreversible as any nuclear holocaust” --- Ecological Disaster Feared, Reuters, 11 May 1982.  Now it is 2030.

John Stossel on politically driven climate change meme..

Posted on 08/26 at 07:02 AM
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Tuesday, August 16, 2022
The Koonin - Dessler Debate

By Andy May

The debate I announced here between Steve Koonin and Andy Dessler took place Monday August 15th, it was very educational and illuminating. I will try and write more about it in a few days.

In short Andy Dessler said that economic models suggest that climate change is a negative for human civilization and not positive at all. But he avoided putting any numbers to this assertion.

Dessler believes that wind and solar produce electricity cheaper than fossil fuels, and that they can provide most of our power. Koonin counters that the only reason wind and solar are cheaper is that the cost of fossil fuel backup and the required changes to the U.S. grid are not included in the solar and wind costs. Koonin shows an estimate of $2.4 trillion to upgrade our electric grid to work with mostly wind and solar.

Koonin stated that the costs of climate change are minimal, and in 100 years will not be noticeable because the world economy will grow so much in that time. Climate change, even in the worse scenarios, only reduces growth very slightly, by 4% or less, and everyone will still be better off. He notes that in the past global warming and climate change have benefited mankind since people are much better off today and much more resilient to climate change than 100 years ago. He also points out that the poor of today should not be made to suffer because the elites (that is the U.S. and the western world) believe, without evidence and only based on models, that fossil fuels are polluting. He adds that solar and wind are not pollution free.

Koonin quotes U.S. economist Anthony Downes, who once said:

“The elite’s environmental deterioration is often the common man’s improved standard of living.”

From “Up and down with ecology - the ‘issue attention cycle,’” by Anthony Downs (link)
At the end of this very interesting Oxford-style debate in the New York Sheen Center, these were the results:

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The Koonin-Dessler Debate Results

Obviously Koonin won, the swing was 25% in his favor. Let us hope that these results are not changed online like they were in the last big climate change debate.

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See the a thorough follow-up by the Manhattan Contrarian here.

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See Jodan Peterson’s take on the issue.

Posted on 08/16 at 04:49 PM
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Monday, July 18, 2022
When Will They Figure Out That Reducing U.S. Carbon Dioxide Emissions Is Pointless?

Manhattan Contrarian is a valuable resource that sheds light on the issues that are driven by government funding that uses “trust the science” as a tool to get support for policies that do much more harm than good and are based on flawed or even fraudulent science.

They remind us: “One of the most respected scientists and educators of modern times, physicist Richard Feynman, perhaps said it best during a speech to the National Science Educators Association in 1966. Feynman asserted that “Science is the belief in the ignorance of experts.” Beyond that, Feynman contended that the “experts who are leading you may be wrong....there is a considerable amount of intellectual tyranny in the name of science."”

See today’s must read post Great Idea For U.S. Energy Policy: Let’s Follow The Example Of Germany! here

As readers here well know, Germany has long sought the mantle of world leader in the march to save the planet by eliminating fossil fuels from the production of energy.  This has been the strategy:  induce, via large government subsidies and tax credits, the construction of vast amounts of wind turbines and solar panels to generate electricity; and as more of those come online, gradually phase out facilities that use fossil fuels, and also phase out nuclear.

Unfortunately, the Germans have been so blinded by their religious fervor to save the planet that nobody bothered to figure out how much energy storage would be needed to back up these intermittent technologies and keep the grid functioning 24/365 in the absence of fossil fuels and nuclear.  Now Germany has an excess of wind and solar facilities that, however, are incapable of providing reliable power on their own; and it has inadequate back-up other than natural gas from Russia.  Thus Germany is facing an imminent energy disaster.

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Here is When will they figure out that reducing us carbon dioxide emissions is pointless:

July 17, 2022/ Francis Menton

The Supreme Court’s West Virginia v. EPA decision a couple of weeks ago has brought forth a big wave of hand wringing in the precincts of the left.  How oh how are we now going to save the planet, if our friends at the EPA can no longer order up a nation-wide energy system transformation on their own authority?  A couple of examples of the genre come from Ron Brownstein in the Atlantic, and from Coral Davenport in the New York Times, both from Friday July 15.

The funny thing about these pieces, and many others like them, is that the authors seem to have completely lost track of, or failed to follow, what has happened and continues to happen in the arena of international energy consumption.  When I started to follow this area in about 2000, the U.S. and Western Europe together accounted for close to two-thirds of world energy consumption, the large majority of it from fossil fuels.  Perhaps at that time it was plausible to believe that if only the U.S. and Western Europe could be weaned off the fossil fuels, and could show how that could be done, then the rest of the world would quickly follow along.

But that was more than two decades ago.  In the intervening twenty-plus years, the U.S. and Europe have achieved some small reductions in their emissions, but the emissions from the developing world - mostly but by no means exclusively from China - have soared.  And they continue to soar.  Neither China nor any other large-population developing country has agreed to forego using coal or any other fossil fuel to achieve rapid economic growth.  Today U.S. emissions stand at about 15% of those of the world, and continuing to shrink rapidly as a percentage, even if they remain about steady in absolute terms.

In short, the effort to make significant reductions in U.S. carbon emissions is completely pointless.  Can someone tell Mr. Brownstein, Ms. Davenport, et al.?

Brownstein’s piece in the Atlantic has the title “Mother Nature Dissents,” rather presumptuously implying that “Mother Nature” disagrees with the Supreme Court’s legal reasoning.  The heart of the piece is the usual cherry-picked assortment of extreme weather events, as if every year does not have some extreme and record events somewhere.

With record heat in Texas that is testing the state’s power grid, a California wildfire that has threatened an ancient grove of sequoias considered a foundation stone of the national-park system, and persistent drought across the West that is forcing unprecedented cutbacks in water deliveries from the Colorado River, the summer of 2022 already is shaping up as another season of extreme and dangerous environmental conditions. 

Does that seem somehow persuasive to you?  If so, you might consider looking at the most recent report of the global satellite temperatures from UAH, which shows that the overall temperature anomaly for the most recent month (June) was +0.06 deg C, barely above the 1991-2020 average, and significantly down from a most recent peak of +0.7 deg C back in 2016.  If we are having unusually hot weather in Texas and California, yet the overall world temperature is just about average, then clearly it must be well below average somewhere else.  And sure enough it is.  From Roy Spencer at UAH:

The tropical (20N-20S) anomaly for June was -0.36 deg. C, which is the coolest monthly anomaly in over 10 years, the coolest June in 22 years, and the 9th coolest June in the 44 year satellite record.

But for Brownstein, a few weeks of hot weather in Texas and California clearly mean that the U.S. government must “do something” to change the climate.  And the something is meeting the “carbon reduction targets” of the Paris Agreement of 2016.  Moreover the blue states can’t do this on their own, so the feds must act.  After all, “scientists say” so:

[I]t’s highly unlikely that action in blue states (and cities) alone will be enough for the U.S. to meet the carbon-reduction targets that scientists say are required to avoid the most catastrophic environmental changes.

Davenport equally reports that “scientists say” that the U.S. must cut its emissions significantly by 2030, and that will somehow affect the climate:

Mr. Biden [has set a] target of cutting the nation’s emissions 50 percent from 2005 levels by 2030. That is the amount that scientists say the United States must reduce its emissions in order to do its part to avoid the most catastrophic near-term impacts of climate change.

Neither the Brownstein nor the Davenport piece so much as mentions what is going on with fossil fuel use and carbon emissions elsewhere in the world, or the extent to which those developments completely nullify anything the U.S. could ever possibly do to reduce emissions.  Consider, for example, recent developments in the production of coal.  The U.S. Energy Information Administration puts out an annual report on U.S. coal production, most recently in October 2021 covering the year 2020.  They report that U.S. coal production decreased by some 24.2% in 2020 over 2019, falling to 535.4 million short tons.  Much of that large reduction was undoubtedly a Covid-related blip that will not be sustained, but assume for these purposes that the U.S. can continue to make such dramatic reductions in its use of coal.  The problem is that by this time China produces and uses a multiple of the amount of coal used here in the U.S., and continues to increase its production at a rapid and accelerating rate.  From NPR, April 25:

Official plans call for boosting coal production capacity by 300 million tons this year, according to news reports. That is equal to 7% of last year’s output of 4.1 billion tons, which was an increase of 5.7% over 2020.

In other words, China’s coal production and consumption are close to 8 times the levels of the U.S., and just two years of annual increases are approximately equal to full U.S. annual production.  Here is a graph from Our World in Data showing the trajectory by which China’s coal production went from approximately equal to that of the U.S. in 2000 to some 8 times as much by 2020 (which is before the further increases noted above by NPR):

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Note that in that chart India has also risen past the U.S. in coal production.  And with nearly 1.4 billion people - four times the population of the U.S., and just slightly less than that of China - India would well multiply its coal production by 8 over the next 20 years, just as China has done over the past 20.  It has made no commitments not to do so.

Brownstein, Davenport, and the rest of the fossil fuel suppression advocacy machine seem blissfully unaware that events have passed them by.  By this time, nothing can be done to make it such that reduction in U.S. carbon emissions can result in a meaningful difference in the overall world picture.  Fortunately, the likelihood of any catastrophic consequences to the climate is extremely remote. 

Note: Manhattan Contrarian has compiled 30 examples of the Scientific Fraud by the ‘scientists’ here

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Actor/comedian Russell Brand tore into the green energy movement, calling it a scam and alleging that it is part of the Great Reset with a goal to bankrupt farmers and grab land across the globe.

Brand hosts a popular podcast where he has been exposing the Great Reset and the plight of farmers. Especially when it comes to the fertilizer shortage and predators like Bill Gates buying up farmland.

Brand discussed Dutch farmers who have been protesting over climate laws being forced on them that are bankrupting their livelihoods. That includes being unable to get the fertilizer needed to grow the crops in the first place.
“This is connected to the land grab of Bill Gates. This is connected to corruption of companies like Monsanto. This whole fertilizer situation is a scam. They present it as a green ideology,” Brand proclaimed.

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See Francis Menton’s latest post on “Get Ready For The 100 Year Long Climate “Emergency here.

Posted on 07/18 at 10:40 AM
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Friday, July 01, 2022
Pain is real but you ain’t seen nothing yet!..INTERNATIONAL WARNING!!!

By Joseph D’Aleo, CCM

I am very concerned that not only through soaring gas prices and across the board inflation, the intended move from fossil fuels which with modern technology had produced cheap and clean and reliable energy to unreliable renewables and to electric cars before replacement inventory and charging solutions are ready will add much more pain to most all American households if we don’t apply the brakes.

HOUSEHOLD HOMES ENERGY COSTS

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First of all 90 million homes use fossil fuels for heating/hot water. Replacing this with electric heat would cost $70,000/household if full replacement of the heating/boiler the entire water piping and replacing with heat coils (we might assume 33% households would take this step).

The remainder of households (67% or 60 million households) might elect to reconfigure their setup with a heat pump to deliver hot water into an existing hydronic fluid reservoir and use their existing heat distribution infrastructure to move it into the living spaces. This would cost $10,000/household.

ELECTRIC VEHICLES

Electric cars have appeal and benefits but forcing adoption ahead of the needed infrastructure would add more pain and expense.

Most households have 1 to 4 cars. Electric vehicles vary from $35,000 to over $100,000.

We might assume $130,000/household for purchasing two cars.

ELECTRIC COSTS

Charging is a challenge, Charging stations are few and far between now. The charge costs depend on time of day and time to charge, The easiest would be recharging at home at night. Homeowners would/should have your home electricity configuration upgraded to level 2 for faster charging. EV advocates suggest to expect $9 for 150 miles but the real costs at EV charging stations and with electric companies are likely to vary with the hour. Charging overnight is more convenient and can be cheaper. For home use, the one time upgrade to level 2 may cost $1000 especially if 2 cars or more are involved and must be accommodated. My car has a 16 gallon gas tank and with 25 mpg, I get 400 miles from a tank. In an EV at the $9/150miles it would cost $24. But for an EV at a prime time charge of $16/150 miles that requires 3 charges and $43. See how to do the math here.

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This assumes electricity costs do not increase dramatically. We know in the green countries that were early adopter electricity prices were 3 to 5 times higher. Remember when prices for gas and all goods and services began to rise, the government suggested it was temporary and not related to policies like the attack on fossil fuels.

If we saw a 3 fold increase, the costs for electric vehicles would be much greater than promised. The early adopter countries also found the green renewable sources were not reliable with brownouts and deadly blackouts (when the sun doesn’t shine or wind blow). Their first solution was to build coal plants but that did make greens happy.  That is why Germany and other countries wanted the liquified natural gas pipeline from Russia.

TOTAL HOUSEHOLD COSTS TECHNOLOGY

$140,000 to $200,000+

TOTAL INCREASE IN ELECTRICITY COSTS

Over $10,000/year short term from demand pressures and supply issues and related inflation and more later from the WOKE policies if we don’t as a society wake up and push back.

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LETTER TO THE EDITOR Trail Times 31 May 2022

‘The planet is not burning and carbon capture is a scam’

This letter is in response to letters by Joslyn Sharp and Robert M. Macrae that were published in the Trail Times, May 5, 2022 ("Skeptical as the planet burns’- Sharp, and ‘Carbon capture: sustainable or scam’ Macrae).

I agree with Sharp that we must “act to save our planet as a hospitable home for our grandchildren” and that “we need to move forward with the best scientific information....”

Moreover, we must take care of the environment without destroying the modern, industrial economy that is dependent upon access to fossil fuels.

Furthermore, we must not fall victim to false prophets of doom nor be misled by politicians that want to control the populace “by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.” (H.L. Mencken)

The current ‘pandemic’ of climate alarmism started in the 1970s with the fear of global cooling. This narrative soon evolved into the fear of man-made global warming and was formally launched by the UN’s ‘Framework Convention on Climate Change’ at the 1992 Rio de Janeiro Earth Summit.

Thirty years later and inspite of a record of failed climate predictions, global-warming alarmism perseveres but under a new label: “Climate Change”. Astonishingly, the alarmists accuse man-made carbon dioxide (aka “CO2”, “carbon emission") for causing a climate emergency.

Consequently, we have been witnessing a war on coal, oil, and natural gas ("fossil fuels"), which are the primary sources of man-made CO2.

In support of this war, Macrae reports that the cost of wind and solar power is less than half the cost of electricity from a coal-fired power plant. If this were true, then why are countries such as China and India expanding their grids with coal-fired power plants?

The war has now escalated to a direct attack on CO2. As many as 30 carbon-capture-storage facilities are now operational with many more being planned, including the development of technology to accelerate the natural sequestration of CO2 in the oceans.

Clearly, carbon capture is a scam but not for the reason cited by Macrae. It is a scam because the “best scientific information” reveals that the oceans are already absorbing an amount equal to 98 percent of our carbon emissions.

Carbon capture is not only a redundant activity, it is also an existential threat. CO2 is as important as sunlight, water, and oxygen in sustaining all life on the planet

Climate change is real and has been occurring since the beginning of time. It now appears that we may be experiencing a cooling trend, having enjoyed rising temperatures since the depths of the Little Ice Age - the Maunder Solar Minimum 1645 to 1715.

Fossil fuels are not only essential in supporting an industrial economy but are also vital for a modern society to survive a period of global cooling. The West appears to be living in a virtual world of “levelized costs” and fatally-flawed climate models; that is, a world that is completely divorced from reality.

According Dr. Patrick Moore, a net-zero carbon agenda is suicidal! “After 40 years of dire predictions, there is certainly no emergency.”

Thorpe Watson, PhD
Warfield

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BBC accused of institutional alarmism as new report reveals long list of climate misinformation

London, 9 June - The BBC has been accused of institutional alarmism as a new report reveals the BBC’s persistent exaggeration and false information when it comes to climate and weather-related news.

The report, compiled by climate researcher Paul Homewood, reveals that the BBC has been forced to correct a dozen false claims and other items of fake news in climate-related coverage after receiving public complaints in recent years.

The report, which has been submitted to the Government’s upcoming Mid-Term Review of the BBC, shows that it has become common practice for BBC reporters to publicize exaggerated and often misleading weather=and climate-related stories in order to hype up the potential risks from global warming.

Net Zero director Benny Peiser said:

“Persistent misrepresentation by BBC journalists in climate news coverage is fuelling the corporation’s institutional alarmism.

“Institutional alarmism is a form of hyped and exaggerated news reporting that is deeply embedded in the BBC. It manifests itself as unbalanced, one-sided coverage of climate risks that are habitually exaggerated and that go uncorrected by the BBC’s in-house fact checkers.”

In 2020, the BBC’s director general warned that the problem posed by disinformation online was increasingly serious and that the BBC would need to work harder than ever to expose fake news and separate fact from fiction.

Since then the corporation has set up a team of fact checkers, a BBC-wide Anti-Disinformation Unit and a Climate Misinformation team. Yet none of these teams of fact checkers noticed or addressed the long list of false news stories that were only corrected by the BBC after lengthy and protracted complaint procedures.

Paul Homewood said:

“There can be little doubt that the cases documented in this report are just the tip of the iceberg. Many other such inaccurate news or false information are broadcast by the BBC without being noticed or complained about.

“It is also true that the BBC regularly try to fob off complainants with spurious replies, leading many to give in. This is even the case when their inaccurate claims are obvious, easily proven and manifest.”

Paul Homewood: Institutional Alarmism: The BBC’s disastrous climate complaints (pdf)

Contact

Paul Homewood
e: phomewooduk@yahoo.co.uk

See the 7th Supplement of our Petition for Reconsideration to the EPA of it’s Greenhouse Gas Endangerment Findings here.

See Part I and Part 2 series I co-produced on climate.

Posted on 07/01 at 11:40 AM
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Monday, June 20, 2022
“The Enhancement and Standardization of Climate-Related Disclosures for Investors”

Comment and Declaration on the SEC’s Proposed Rule “The Enhancement and Standardization of Climate-Related Disclosures for Investors”.

William Happer, Professor of Physics, Emeritus, Princeton University and Richard Lindzen, Professor of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, Emeritus, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
June 17, 2022

Comment and Declaration

Thank you for the opportunity to comment on the proposed SEC requiring disclosures of climate related risk caused by fossil fuels and CO2.

We are career physicists who have specialized in radiation physics and dynamic heat transfer for decades.

In our opinion, science demonstrates that there is no climate related risk caused by fossil fuels and CO2 and no climate emergency.

Further, nowhere in the more than 500 pages of the proposed rule is there any reliable scientific evidence that there exists a climate related risk. None. It refers to the International Panel on Climate Change ("IPCC"), the Task Force on Climate-Related Financial Disclosures ("TCFD") and other outside groups, but never provides any reliable scientific evidence that supports the rule. The science is just assumed. Therefore, there is no reliable scientific basis for the proposed SEC rule.

Further, contrary to what is commonly reported, CO2 is essential to life on earth. Without CO2, there would be no photosynthesis, and thus no plant food and not enough oxygen to breathe.

Moreover, without fossil fuels there will be no low-cost energy worldwide and less CO2 for photosynthesis making food. Eliminating fossil fuels and reducing CO2 emissions will be disastrous for the poor, people worldwide, future generations and the country.

Finally, the cost of the proposed rule is enormous and would have no public benefit. It would increase the reporting burden to companies $6.4 billion, which is 64% more than the $3.9 billion all SEC reporting requirements have cost companies from its beginning in 1934. Id., 87 Fed. Reg., p. 21461.

Thus, the rule must not be adopted or, if adopted, ruled invalid by the courts.

To view the entire comment view pdf here: Happer Lindzen SEC 6-17-22

Reader note the link takes you to 28 pages of detail on WHY Science demonstrates that there is no climate related risk caused by fossil fuels and CO2 and no climate emergency

And explains their CONCLUSION

Thus, in our opinion, science demonstrates that there is no climate emergency and N0 climate related risk caused by fossil fuels and CO2. Therefore, there is no reliable scientific evidence that supports the SEC proposed rule. Further, contrary to what is commonly reported, CO2 is essential to life on earth. Without CO2, there would be no photosynthesis, and thus no plant food and not enough oxygen to breathe. Moreover, without fossil fuels there will be no reliable, low-cost energy worldwide and less CO2 for photosynthesis making food. Eliminating fossil fuels and reducing CO2 emissions will be disastrous for the United States and the rest of the word, especially for lower-income people.

Posted on 06/20 at 02:12 PM
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Friday, June 17, 2022
Net-zero Reality Check #1 - Wind Only

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Donn Dears - June 10, 2022 CO2 Coalition

(This is the first of four articles, using published data and simple logic, to demonstrate net-zero carbon is unattainable by 2050 with wind, solar or nuclear, or a combination of these methods for power generation.)

The total number of new wind turbines to achieve net-zero carbon by 2050 is: 995,141. Climate change scaremongers insist we eliminate the use of fossil fuels. But what does that really entail?

Here is the first reality check: Can wind turbines achieve net-zero carbon?

Three steps are required to determine the number of wind turbines needed to achieve net-zero carbon by 2050.

Step 1

Step one determines the number of new wind turbines needed to replace all the electricity generated by fossil fuels in 2021.

Wind produced 380 billion kWh, or 9.2% of all the electricity generated in 2021.

The average nameplate rating of existing wind turbines in the United States is approximately 2.5 MW. Based on a Capacity Factor of 32% for these turbines, there were 54,244 wind turbines in the US in 2021.

Subtracting nuclear and renewables from total generation determines the kWh generated by fossil fuels. Dividing the kWh produced by fossil fuels, by the kWh generated per wind turbine determines the number of additional wind turbines needed to replace the electricity produced by fossil fuels in 2021.

Number of new wind turbines needed to replace fossil fuels = 358,447

Step 2

Step two is to determine the new wind turbines needed to supply the electricity needed when light vehicles are all battery-powered, and homes use electricity for heating rather than natural gas. The national renewable energy lab (NREL) has determined that total electricity consumption will double when all light vehicles are BEVs and homes rely on electricity for heating. Hydro can’t be doubled, and without increasing other miscellaneous renewables, the additional electricity generated by wind turbines will equal the amount generated by all methods in 2021, i.e., 4,116 billion kWh.

Number of new wind turbines to double electricity consumption by 2050 = 587,329

Step 3

Step three is to determine the number of new wind turbines needed to generate the electricity required to produce enough hydrogen to make steel and cement that meet net-zero carbon requirements. There’s little reliable data on using hydrogen in the making of cement, while there is considerable data for using hydrogen in the making of steel. The estimate shown here for the number of new wind turbines is based on the amount of hydrogen required to make 62 million tons of steel, which excludes the amount of steel made using scrap in electric arc furnaces, and then doubling the number of wind turbines to compensate for the production of cement. (The United States produced 87.9 million tons of steel in 2021.)

Number of new wind turbines required to generate the electricity used by electrolyzers to produce the hydrogen to make steel and cement = 49,365

Summary

The total number of new wind turbines to achieve net-zero carbon by 2050 is: 995,141
(358,447 + 587,329 + 49,365 = 995,141)

The average number of wind turbines installed in one year after 2004 was 3,000, which, at that rate, means it will take 332 years to install all the wind turbines needed to achieve net-zero.

The maximum number ever installed in one year was 5,680 which, at that rate, would mean it would take 175 years to install all the needed wind turbines.

Wind turbines larger than 2.5 MW are under development, mostly for off-shore installations, however a very few units rated 5 MW or more have been installed in the US. Recognizing there is a possibility that units rated 5 MW might be installed in the US:

It would be necessary to install 17,770 units rated 5 MW every year over the 28 years between now and 2050. This is three times the number of smaller units ever installed in one year.

Additional considerations

Nuclear power plants are scheduled to be shut down beginning in 2032, with all existing nuclear power plants shut down by 2064. There is no provision in the above calculations for the additional wind turbines needed to replace the nuclear power plants shut down before 2050.

Wind turbines have an expected life of 20 years. This means that:

All 54,244 wind turbines installed before 2022 will also have to be replaced before 2050.
All wind turbines built between now and 2030 will also have to be replaced before 2050.
These additional wind turbines have not been included in the above calculations.

Batteries are required to provide back up for when the wind doesn’t blow. No battery has yet been invented that can provide the needed amount of storage to replace the electricity lost if the wind fails to blow for a week or two.

Conclusion

If wind turbines are used in an attempt to eliminate fossil fuels, it will require building over 995,141 new wind turbines rated 2.5 MW between now and 2050.

The largest number of wind turbines ever installed in one year was 5,680, which means it would take 175 years to build the necessary number of units rated 2.5 MW. If larger 5 MW units were used it would require installing over 17,770 units every year between now and 2050, which is three times the number of smaller units ever installed in one year. And of course, storage using batteries that have yet to be developed will also be required. This reality check should give everyone pause, as it demonstrates that it’s not possible to eliminate fossil fuels using wind turbines.

Net-zero carbon cannot be achieved using wind turbines.

Posted on 06/17 at 11:45 AM
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Thursday, June 02, 2022
“Looking at the Sun” - Climate Discussion Nexus interviews CERES co-team leader, Dr. Ronan Connolly

Recently, Dr. John Robson of the Climate Discussion Nexus (CDN) interviewed CERES co-team leader, Dr. Ronan Connolly, on the role of the Sun in recent climate change.

CDN have now published their 20 minute “explaine” video including extracts from this interview and discussion of some of CERES’ recent scientific research. Although the video covers quite a few technical points, they are explained in a very clear and accessible manner.

Topics covered include:

The significance of the debates between the two main rival satellite estimates of solar activity trends since 1978, i.e., PMOD and ACRIM.

How using either PMOD or ACRIM to calibrate the pre-satellite era solar data can give very different estimates of how much solar activity has changed since the 19th century and earlier.

How politics and the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) reports have downplayed the possible role of solar activity in recent climate change.

The urbanization bias problem of current thermometer-based estimates of global temperature trends since the 19th century.

The video refers to Connolly et al. (2021), i.e., this recent CERES-led scientific paper:

R. Connolly, W. Soon, M. Connolly, S. Baliunas, J. Berglund, C. J. Butler, R. G. Cionco, A. G. Elias, V. M. Fedorov, H. Harde, G. W. Henry, D. V. Hoyt, O. Humlum, D. R. Legates, S. Luning, N. Scafetta, J.-E. Solheim, L. Szarka, H. van Loon, V. M. Velasco Herrera, R. C. Willson, H. Yan and W. Zhang (2021). How much has the Sun influenced Northern Hemisphere temperature trends? An ongoing debate. Research in Astronomy and Astrophysics 21, 131. Link (preprint pdf).

See here for our press release summary of Connolly et al. (2021)

The video can be found on the CDN website here and the Youtube link is embedded below:

Climate Discussion Nexus’s latest “Backgrounder” John Robson explains that a technical dispute about satellite readings of solar output since 1979 is of enormous importance because temperature fluctuations over the last four decades correlate very closely with cycles in the sun’s activity or have nothing to do with them depending who’s right about the calibration of some backup sensors.

What about the 540 AD global cooling?

Posted on 06/02 at 01:21 PM
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Sunday, May 22, 2022
Sea Level Acceleration - That Other Big Lie

By Joseph D’Aleo, Nils Axil Morner and Tom Wysmuller

NOAA Ocean Service 2022 report:

The Next 30 Years of Sea Level Rise “Sea level along the U.S. coastline is projected to rise, on average, 10 - 12 inches (0.25 - 0.30 meters) in the next 30 years (2020 - 2050), which will be as much as the rise measured over the last 100 years (1920 - 2020). Sea level rise will vary regionally along U.S. coasts because of changes in both land and ocean height.”

REBUTTAL This claim is demonstrably false. It really hinges on this statement: “Tide gauges and satellites agree with the model projections.” The models project a rapid acceleration of sea level rise over the next 30 to 70 years. So it must be true. However, while the models may project acceleration, the tide gauges clearly do not.

All data from tide gauges in areas where land is not rising or sinking show instead a steady linear and unchanging sea level rate of rise near 4 inches/century, with variations due to gravitational factors. It is true that where the land is sinking as it is in the Tidewater area of Virginia and the Mississippi Delta region, sea levels will appear to rise faster but no changes in CO2 emissions would change that. The implication that measured, validated, and verified Tide Gauge data support this conclusion remains simply false.

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All such references rely on “semi-empirical” information, which merges, concatenates, combines, and joins, actual tide gauge data with various models of the reference author’s choosing. Nowhere on this planet can a tide gauge be found, that shows even half of the claimed 3.3 mm/yr sea level rise rate in “Tectonically Inert” coastal zones. These are areas that lie between regions of geological uplift and subsidence. They are essentially neutral with respect to vertical land motion, and tide gauges located therein show between 1 mm/yr (3.9 inches/century) and 1.5 mm/yr (6 inches/century rise).

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At the northern end of the sinking land areas in Portland, Maine, a change of just 1.9mm/year (7.5 inches a century).
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Holgate (2007) showed the slowing as the glacial melt slowed and the current trend slope pales in comparison to the long-term trend.

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A Real Expert on Sea levels

The great Swedish Oceanographer, Nils-Axel Morner, has commented on this extensively, and his latest papers confirm this ‘inconvenient truth’. Furthermore, alarmist claims that “Satellites agree with the model projection” are false.

Because of local factors affecting gauges, technology was introduced to provide more objective measurement of sea level rise. In all cases the new satellite and radar altimeter data showed flat or even decreasing sea levels. Since these results conflicted with previous alarmist model forecasts and claims, adjustments to this data were made - including a Glacial Isostatic Adjustment GIA). GIA assumes that land is rebounding from long ago glaciations and oceanic basins are deepening and thus is masking the true sea level rise.

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The assumption is that this rebounding is masking the true sea level rise. Alarmists continue to proclaim that their models project a rapid acceleration of sea level rise over the next 30 to 70 years, when those same models have failed to even come close to accurately predicting the past 25 years.  So like with other inconvenient data, they push the agencies to “fix it” to fit the models instead of rethinking the models.

A new study affirms what satellite data have been telling us for years: ‘the global coastline is prograding.’ This isn’t the first time shoreline expansion in the era of global warming and allegedly rapid sea level rise has been documented. A 2019 global-scale analysis of 709 islands in the Pacific and Indian Oceans revealed 89% were either stable or growing in size, and that no island larger than 10 ha (and only 1.2% of islands larger than 5 ha) had decreased in size since the 1980s. Likewise, the globe’s beaches have been growing by 0.33 m/year since 1984.

In a press release for a 2016 paper on coastal land area changes from 1985 to 2015, scientists acknowledged this: ‘We expected that the coast would start to retreat due to sea level rise, but the most surprising thing is that the coasts are growing all over the world’ - BBC. Today there are high resolution satellite images available from Google Earth clearly demarcating global-scale decadal shoreline change since the 1980s. Claims of dangerously accelerating sea level rise posing an imminent global threat to coasts have once again been challenged by real-world observational evidence.” Indeed, global warming is not resulting in rising sea levels.

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The Biden OMB in the same releases on sea level threats talked about the increased dangers with wildfire and hurricanes. We have shown here that any increase in the impacts of annual dry season forest fires are a forest management and environmental and governmental policy induced issue, not a Global Warming induced one. They had declined the last century until environmentalists who have a distain for foresters, farmers and ranchers took over control.

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Hurricane damages have increased as the property at risk in the attractive coastal areas skyrocketed. Losses for 2018 were estimated at $91 billion and for 2019 were $45 billion. This past decade was the quietest one for landfalling hurricanes (behind the 1970s) and major hurricanes (behind only the 1860s).

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See more here

Posted on 05/22 at 05:26 PM
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Tuesday, May 10, 2022
Comments on Speech by the Secretary General of the IMC on Climate and Security

Below are quotes from the speech by Sherri Goodman, Secretary General followed by related hypotheses validated in a Petition for Reconsideration of the EPA GHG Endangerment Findings Supplement #7. (Link

1.) “Decarbonizing is also critical to reduce the long-term catastrophic security risks of climate change,”
Rebuttal: The only long-term catastrophic security risks that will result from Climate Change is policy action based on the continued belief in the invalidated climate science theory that rising Trace GHG Atmospheric concentrations have had a positive impact on GAST (Global Average Surface Temperature).

2.) “The idea is that though we are facing unprecedented risks (such as climate change), we also possess unprecedented foresight,"---"The tools and methods for anticipating these risks, and doing something about it, have dramatically improved over the past decades. And in that context, we have no excuses. We can see these unprecedented threats coming. And that creates a responsibility to act, and act preventively.”
Rebuttal: (See Pages 2 -3 in Suppl.#7)

Section A: The Social Cost of CO2 (SC-CO2) is Negative; CO2 is a Beneficial Gas.

1. Global Average Surface Temperature (GAST) data is a total fabrication.
2. Proof of GAST data fabrication invalidates each of the Three Lines of Evidence in the 2009 GHG Endangerment Finding.
3. Climate models are fundamentally flawed and cannot be used for attribution of global warming to rising atmospheric CO2/GHG concentration levels.
4. Climate models are fundamentally flawed since the Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity of CO2 is actually zero; thus, the current SCC estimation/modeling systems, always involving such climate models linked to economic models, are also fundamentally flawed.
5. Finally, each of the Alarmist Claims when postulated as a separate falsifiable hypothesis should also be rejected.
6. That SC-CO2 is less than 0 cannot be rejected. Thus, CO2 is a Beneficial Gas

Section B: The Social Cost of Each Trace GHG Other than CO2 is also Negative; therefore, each Trace GHG is a Beneficial Gas

1. The Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity (ECS) of each of the other GHGs currently subject to future emissions reduction regulation, e.g., Methane, N2O, CFCs and HFCs has been calculated incorrectly for years and is actually zero.

Therefore, the social cost of each trace GHG other than CO2 is also negative; therefore, each is also a beneficial gas.

3.“One of Putin’s most powerful weapons in this war is its production of fossil fuels,” ---"That’s why one of the West’s most powerful counterattacks is neutralizing this weapon by accelerating the global transition to clean energy.”
Rebuttal: By 2019, America had energy security, it was a net exporter of oil and natural gas. Under the current Green New Deal Plan, America has lost its energy security and going forward would to be reliant on China for its energy security. This would put America in a similar situation as that faced today by Germany with its reliance on Russian oil and gas.

4.“Because of global warming Putin “himself has acknowledged” that a thawing permafrost poses a threat to northern cities. Moreover, Arctic melting “eliminates a natural defense” for Russia’s northern border which could “spur increased military buildup."”
Rebuttal: Arctic warming and the melting of the arctic ice are not at all unprecedented (they happen predictably on multidecadal scales (Pacific Decadal Oscillation or PDO and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation or AMO) with periods of around 60 years) and are in fact entirely natural. Warming results in part from the reduction of arctic ice extent because of flows of warm water into the arctic from the Pacific through the Bering Straits and from the Atlantic from the far North Atlantic Current. The warmer water thins the ice from beneath, slows the refreezing and limits to varying degrees the depth and extent of the ice. (see more on the ocean influence here and full details here)

image
Recent year data shows we have past the latest peak of arctic warming (most ice in a decade) and likely to descend again into a colder era with reduced summer melt.

image

A seminal work below dealing with this issue demonstrated that surface temperatures and the AMO and PDO behavior can be readily explained by natural factors, in particular, solar, volcanic and oceanic/ENSO activity. In addition, the work demonstrated that CO2 did not have a statistically significant impact on the AMO or the PDO or land surface temperatures.

James P. Wallace III, Anthony J. Finizza and Joseph DAleo, “A Simple KISS Model to Examine the Relationship Between Atmospheric CO2 Concentration, and Ocean & Land Surface Temperatures, Taking into Consideration Solar and Volcanic Activity, As Well As Fossil Fuel Use.” Evidence-Based Climate Science, Elsevier, Oxford, Amsterdam, pp. 353-382. ISBN: 9780123859563, Copyright 2011 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved, Elsevier.(link),

5.“The bottom line is that climate threat multipliers such as drought and desertification have compromised the resilience of the global food system. Taking Ukrainian and Russian food off the global market will soon lead to empty grocery shelves in fragile states” --- “The loss of Ukrainian wheat for emerging economies, especially those with fragile democracies, risks instability as rising prices for basic resources and could spark discontent of the type that led to the Arab Spring uprisings in 2011 that began with a food crisis.”
Rebuttal:  Though we have warned that the impact of losing major producers will impact available global supplies, the implied claims of carbon dioxide increasing drought and desertification is blatantly false.

Actually CO2 has buffered localized drought impacts and has fostered an agricultural revolution that small-minded bureaucrats want to halt.

NASA has reported on a considerable greening of the earth the last 3 decades. The Sahara desert has actually shrunk 8%.

image

A significant portion of continuing crop yield increases in recent decades is due to the approximately 45% rise in atmospheric CO2 since the Industrial Revolution. As the primary raw material of plant photosynthesis, literally thousands of laboratory and field experiments have conclusively demonstrated that higher levels of atmospheric CO2 enhance crop growth and yields (see the CO2 Science Plant Growth Database).

With respect to unmanaged or natural ecosystems, they do not appear to be in danger of collapse either. Quite to the contrary, increasing temperatures and rising atmospheric CO2 concentrations are benefitting the terrestrial biosphere. Prior to around 1940, Earth’s land surfaces were a net source of CO2-carbon to the atmosphere. From 1940 onward, however, the terrestrial biosphere has become, in the mean, an increasingly greater sink for CO2- carbon. And when including data from both the land and ocean, it has been determined that the global carbon uptake (a measure of productivity) has actually doubled over the past half-century, from 2.4 to 5.0 billion tonnes per year.

Similar results were reported in 2017 by a research team (Li et al., 2017). Working with over 2100 globally-distributed databases, they analyzed the spatiotemporal patterns of net primary production over the past half-century, which patterns are illustrated below. Their results indicated that, for the planet as a whole, net primary production increased significantly by 21.5 percent over the past five decades. Not surprisingly, the authors report that atmospheric CO2 concentration was the dominant factor controlling the inter-annual variability and increase of global net primary production over the period of study.

Starving plant life of the critical CO2 would have a negative effect on foodstuff and is a fool’s game.

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What is driving the alarmism?

The recent claims about the need to “trust the science” for COVID where the science changed as needed should alert you to how you have been fooled.

Their motivation is not to aid mankind but the elitist plans to control mankind. They have openly admitted this.

“The common enemy of humanity is man. In searching for a new enemy to unite us, we came up with the idea that pollution, the threat of global warming, water shortages, famine and the like would fit the bill.”
- The Club of Rome Premier environmental think-tank and consultants to the United Nations.-The Club of Rome Premier environmental think-tank and consultants to the United Nations (1991 The First Global Revolution, New York: Pantheon Books, 1991)

“We’ve got to ride this global-warming issue. Even if the theory of global warming is wrong, we will be doing the right thing in terms of economic and environmental policy."-Timothy Wirth, Former US Senator and then head of the United Nations Foundation. (Michael Fumento, Science Under Siege: Balancing Technology and the Environment (William Morrow & Company, 1993), p. 362)

“Christine Stewart, then Canadian Minister of the Environment and author of Trashing the Planet (1990) and Environmental Overkill (1993), speaking before editors and reporters of the Calgary Herald in 1998, said, “No matter if the science of global warming is all phony...climate change [provides] the greatest opportunity to bring about justice and equality in the world.”

The UN IPCC kicked it into high gear in 1995.  Ben Santer was appointed the convening Lead-author of Chapter 8 of the 1995 IPCC Report titled “Detection of Climate Change and Attribution of Causes.” In that position, Santer created the first clear example of the IPCC manipulation of science for a political agenda. He used his position to establish the headline that humans were a factor in global warming by altering the meaning of what was agreed by the committee as a whole at the draft meeting in Madrid.

The consensus of the large group of scientists assigned with assessing the proposed effects agreed in their summary of the main chapter of the report was: “None of the studies cited above has shown clear evidence that we can attribute the observed [climate] changes to the specific cause of increases in Greenhouse gases.”

Santer as Lead Author replaced it with: “There is evidence of an emerging pattern of climate response to forcing by greenhouse gases and sulfate aerosol...from the geographical, seasonal and vertical patterns of temperature change… These results point toward a human influence on global climate.”

It was just a start of central planning and control. This was openly admitted by politicians and lead UN IPCC

“The future is to be [One] World Government with central planning by the United Nations. Fear of environmental crises - whether real or not - is expected to lead to compliance” - Former Washington State Democratic Governor Dixy Lee Ray

“Our aim is not to save the world from ecological calamity but to change the global economic system… This is probably the most difficult task we have ever given ourselves, which is to intentionally transform the economic development model, for the first time in human history.” In simpler terms, replace free enterprise, entrepreneurial capitalism with UN-controlled centralized, One World government and economic control.” - UN Climate Chief Christiana Figueres - UN Climate Chief Christiana Figueres 2015

“One has to free oneself from the illusion that international climate policy is environmental policy. It is not. It is actually about how “we redistribute de facto the world’s wealth.” - IPCC official Ottmar Edenhofer 2010

AOC’s chief of staff Saikat Chakrabarti admitted that the Green New Deal was not conceived as an effort to deal with climate change, but instead a “how-do-you-change-the-entire economy thing” - nothing more than a thinly veiled socialist takeover of the U.S. economy. (2019)

The elitists have a low regard for the intelligence of those they want to control.

In three separate appearances (video of the three), MIT economist Jonathan Gruber, dubbed the “Obamacare Architect,” took that dim view of Americans’ intelligence. In the first, he discusses “the stupidity of the American voter.” In the second, that “Americans were too stupid to understand” one of the ACA’s tax increases. In the third, he describes the law’s “exploitation of the lack of understanding of the American voter.”

Above we have shown in their own words how the indoctrination of the world on the alleged perils of global warming evolved and in their own words how they have ulterior motives for their green agenda.

Posted on 05/10 at 03:48 AM
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Monday, May 09, 2022
Urgent Election Action

by Viv Forbes of the Saltbush Club, 10th May 2022

Libs and ALP are both on the nose. It looks unlikely that either of them will hold a majority of seats. But if voters are not disciplined in how they vote, a bunch of deep greens posing as independents will grab enough seats to hold the balance of power. This would be a disaster.

So voters must ensure that Liberals can form the next government, providing they have adult supervision. We explain why and how below.

See here for a pictorial advice on How to Vote:
image
(Feel free to use this cartoon with no alterations.)

Voters must ensure there are new sensible people holding the balance of power in Australian parliaments. We need people who understand that:

* The “Man-made Climate Crisis” is a fraud. Natural cycles control the climate.

* “Net Zero Emissions” is a destructive, impossible green dream.

* Hydrogen, Pumped Hydro and Big Batteries are all net-consumers of energy. They can store energy and recycle it, but that round-robin process is always a net consumer of energy.

* Carbon Capture and Storage and “Clean Coal” are con games designed to consume more hydro-carbon energy for no public or environmental benefit. They would enrich big businesses.

* Reliable affordable electricity for industry and homes is best supplied by coal, gas, hydro or nuclear power.

* While the world scrambles to get coal supplies, Australian bureaucrats have delayed coal exploration and development for decades. And we can mine and export uranium, but not use it. These follies must stop.

* All electricity generators should be treated equally - no special taxes or subsidies. They should be obliged to provide their own backup power and their own connections to the grid.

* Electric cars may suit rich city folk (who forget they are powered mainly by coal). But battery-electric engines are an impossible dream for dozers, tractors, harvesters, road trains, aeroplanes and bulk carriers. And the supply chains that deliver daily food, fuel and services to the cities rely totally on hydrocarbon energy (diesel, petrol and gas).

* Australia has about three weeks of diesel supplies in the country.

* To moderate the effects of droughts and floods we need MORE DAMS NOW.

* We need a regulatory firestorm to clear the legislative litter of green and red tape.

* We have far too many complicated tax laws. We need to slash and simplify taxes everywhere, starting with abolition of payroll tax (the tax on jobs) and capital gains tax (the tax on capital improvements).

* Most politicians since the Whitlam era have helped to create a huge national debt. Unless we reverse this, our currency will be destroyed, opening the door to digital money, electronic rationing and “The Great Green Reset”.

* We must abolish federal/state/local duplication, leaving more control with State and Local authorities and with families.

* The federal government should focus on defence, foreign affairs, quarantine and maintenance of free trade between states.

* We need a “back-to-basics” in public education, with less green indoctrination.

* Australia has a shortage of labour, and a surplus of people receiving welfare. Welfare for able-bodied recipients with no dependants should be reduced.

It is time to VOTE FOR REAL CHANGE. However, thoughtless rejection of the Lib/NP government will produce a government which is far worse - a Labor Government dependent on Greens and extreme Greens. We must use the power of preferential voting to break Liberal/Labor/Green Power.

Check out Topher Field on how to use Preferential Voting to get the best candidate elected here and here.

Libs and ALP are both on the nose. It looks unlikely that either of them will hold a majority of seats. But if voters are not disciplined in how they vote, a bunch of deep greens posing as independents will grab enough seats to hold the balance of power. They will naturally support a radical Green/ALP coalition, and Australia will leap out of the frying pan into the fire.

However, with thoughtful and disciplined behaviour at the ballot box (for BOTH Senate and House of Reps) we can stop this looming green calamity by electing some sensible new politicians.

Our first election job - identify the worst candidates and parties. Preference them last on both House of Reps and Senate ballot papers when you vote.

The most dangerous candidates in this election are The Sneaky Greens - they pose as “independents” but are being supported by climate crazy millionaires and, if elected, will re-appear in their deep green uniforms. Unless you know better, put all “independents”, Teal Greens, Climate 200 and Get-Up supported candidates last.

Have a look here to see how they operate and what they plan here and here.

Just above the Sneaky Greens and “Independents” put the declared Greens and their ALP allies. Then select all Liberals above all of the Green/ALP alliance and “Independents”.

Then focus on who should get your top votes. Choose your numbers 1, 2, 3, 4 etc candidates Freedom-Friendly-Minor-Parties (FFMP) giving preference to those listed below:

* Campbell Newman, Topher Field and the Liberal Democrats

* Pauline Hanson, George Christensen and the One Nation Candidates

* Clive Palmer, Craig Kelly and United Australia Candidates

* Bob Katter and Katter Australia Party

* Barnaby Joyce, Matt Canavan and National Party Candidates

* Bob Day and Australian Family Party Candidates

* And Saltbush Club member, David Archibald, who contests Curtin, in WA

Put low numbers against all FFMP candidates in your order of choice so your vote preferences flow on and accumulate. Number every square all the way down to Unknown independents and the climate-crazy Teal “independents”.

For the Senate (which has a large complicated white ballot paper) it is safer and easier to number every square above the line, using the same party ranking rules as above.

Australia is facing a crisis. We hold a large rich continent with a small population. It is lightly defended with inadequate weapons. Wars are fought for living space and resources. To our north (and sneaking down to the East) are the teeming millions of Asia.

Australia has huge resources of minerals, energy, timber and food but too much is sterilised in nationalised parks, world heritage areas, or buried beneath rainbow serpents. We have to import farm labour while we pay Australians not to work. Now our grasslands and farms are being suffocated beneath subsidised green energy paraphernalia while speculators tout capital-destroying dreams like hydrogen. Our education system devalues maths and science, despises educational excellence and offers an expanding array of soft options. Our immigration policy seems to encourage racial tension while our military leaders seem more concerned with diversity and zero emissions than with discipline and skills.

It requires thoughtful dedication to save Australia at this late stage. It will get worse before it gets better. We cannot allow those who created this crisis to control our next chapter. Australia’s revival must start with this election.

Viv Forbes
Washpool, Qld, Australia

Further Reading:

Check out Topher Field on how to use Preferential Voting to get the best candidate elected here and here

Australia cannot afford the Teal “Independents” here.

Labor frontbencher Chris Bowen has said there will be no new coal fired power stations built in Australia here.

“Despite having more coal and uranium per person than almost anywhere on Earth, Australia has still managed to make some of the most expensive electricity on the planet. Mostly thanks to a pagan quest to control the weather.”
Jo Nova

Put Majors Last here
https://majorslast.com/

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Responsibility for electoral comment here is taken by Viv Forbes, Ipswich-Boonah Road, Washpool, Qld, Australia.

He grew up in the Menzies era, completed National Service, was once a member of the Liberal Party, and has led Senate Teams for two different Freedom-Friendly-Minor-Parties. He is not currently a member of any political party, nor a candidate in the coming federal election. He has studied politics and economics at the University of Queensland and economics at the Foundation for Economic Education in New York.

Posted on 05/09 at 04:46 PM
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Thursday, April 14, 2022
Real scientists dim view of the Oregonian

Gordon Fulks and Chuck Wiese

I saw that article on the front page of today’s Oregonian.  It made me chuckle, because the unprecedented April snow and cold here has rattled the climate crowd.  They have to speak out to keep the faithful from deserting their climate religion.  So, they publish comments from one of the high priests at Oregon State University, explaining that they expected such and linking it to the Summer Solstice event we experienced last year in late June, where temperatures in the Willamette Valley reached 116 F.

In some sense, they are correct as this plot of state record high and record low temperatures shows:

image
Enlarged

Although not quite up-to-date, this plot shows that most of the state record highs and lows occurred during the Dust Bowl of the 1930s, when the concentration of atmospheric CO2 in our atmosphere was considerably lower.  Hence, there is no correlation of CO2 with extreme weather events, but extremes do cluster for other reasons.

Even an update of that plot to 2022 will not show a change in the number of state record highs in 1898.  Oregon’s record high of 119 F, set that year, still stands.  The massive heat wave that we experienced last June amounted to relatively normal hot weather in Eastern Oregon and Washington spilling into the Willamette Valley at the time of year when the Sun is highest in the sky and days are longest.

It is a pity that the Oregonian is not honest enough to point out that the “expert” they quote has no degrees in the physical sciences.  Even they should know that science requires training in the areas where people claim expertise.  On the other hand, I expect that Professor Fleishman is smart enough to realize what the Oregonian refuses to mention.  Oregon State University has long received massive funding for their support of climate hysteria.  The last I looked, the Federal Government gravy train leaves them upwards of $250 million dollars every year.

Oregonian Editor Therese Bottomly was very correct when she wrote recently about “following the money” in politics.  That is essential, because this subject has become so political.

My criticism of yesterday still stands.  The Oregonian needs to quote real scientists with real degrees in the physical sciences, even if they are heavily alarmist.

Here is what I quoted from the premier climate alarmist Gavin Schmidt, PhD.  He succeeded James Hansen, PhD, at NASA/GISS in New York City.

“General statements about extremes are almost nowhere to be found in the literature but seem to abound in the popular media...It’s this popular perception that global warming means all extremes have to increase all the time, even if anyone thinks about that for ten seconds they realize that’s nonsense.”

Yes, “nonsense” is the operative word.

Gordon

Gordon J. Fulks, BS, MS, PhD (All in Physics from the University of Chicago)
Corbett, Oregon USA

P.S. I am one of the directors of the CO2 Coalition, where real scientists with real expertise specialize in real science:

Note that our Chairman is the well-known Princeton University Professor of Physics WWill Happer.

Another director is the renowned PhD ecologist who helped found Greenpeace, Patrick Moore.

Our most famous meteorologist is MIT Professor of Atmospheric Sciences Richard Lindzen.

Harrison Jack Schmitt, with a PhD in Geology from Harvard University and the only scientist to have walked on the Moon, was one of our directors.

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Chuck Wiese’ via Global Warming Realists wrote:

This article is preposterous rubbish! “Professor” Erica Fleishman has no academic training in atmospheric science or any earth science discipline and knows nothing about what she speaks, in fact, the opposite of what she says is true. Extreme weather IS NOT caused by “climate change” IF carbon dioxide was changing the climate as with the false claim she is asserting.

Here is the sound refutation to the incorrect paper published by Jennifer Francis and Steve Vavrus about this that I wrote about in 2016:

A Warming Arctic Would Not Cause Increased Severe Weather or Temperature Extremes - edberry.com

Professor Fleishman, do you care to defend your claim? Where are you getting this nonsense that you are telling the Oregonian? Did Kale Williams quote you correctly?
These claims of yours are a complete trashing of the established principles of atmospheric science and they couldn’t be further from the truth.

Here are professor Fleishmans academic credentials:

Erica Fleishman | College of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Sciences | Oregon State University

She is an ecologist, not a meteorologist or atmospheric scientist. You would think (but I am not surprised) that Kale Williams and the Oregonian would seek out individuals that know something about which they speak. Professor Fleishman does not and can only quote the political body of the IPCC that has been shown to be wrong and politicized most of their claims about “climate change”.

Chuck Wiese
Meteorologist

Here we go again!

The response from Oregon’s climate fanatics has been complete silence.  On Sunday, The Oregonian put out another of their front page headline stories on the need for “urgent climate action,” based on the latest UNIPCC report.

They added this hogwash on Tuesday.  The commitment to the Climate Crusade and OSU deceit continues unabated. 

Blistering June heat, unprecedented April snow: Climate change makes extreme weather more likely in Oregon

As heat-trapping gases continue to accumulate in the atmosphere - coming from tailpipes, power plants and industrial facilities - these types of extreme weather events are likely to become more common, said Erica Fleishman, a professor at Oregon State University and director of the Oregon Climate Change Research Institute.

Posted on 04/14 at 06:45 AM
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Saturday, April 09, 2022
The Many Benefits of Rising Atmospheric CO2 - An Introduction

By Craig D. Idso—April 6, 2022

Dr. Craig Idso, Chairman of the Center for the Study of Carbon Dioxide and Global Change, and a new principal at MasterResource, invites readers to join him in a new series of articles discussing the many ways in which rising atmospheric carbon dioxide benefits humanity and nature.

Atmospheric carbon dioxide: you can’t see, hear, smell or taste it. But it’s there-all around us-and it’s crucial for life. Composed of one carbon and two oxygen atoms, this simple molecule serves as the primary raw material out of which plants construct their tissues, which in turn provide the materials out of which animals construct theirs. Knowledge of the key life-giving and life-sustaining role played by carbon dioxide, or CO2, is so well established, in fact, that humans- and all the rest of the biosphere-are described in the most basic of terms as carbon-based lifeforms. We simply could not and would not exist without it.

Ironically, far too many demonize and falsely label this important atmospheric trace gas a pollutant. Nothing could be further from the truth. Instead of being shunned like the plague, the ongoing rise in CO2 should be welcomed with open arms.

How do I know this?

During the past three decades of my professional career I have performed countless hours of research, conducted multiple experiments, published a series of professional journal articles, written several books, created videos and feature-length documentaries, and authored thousands of commentary articles exploring the effects of CO2 on the biosphere (much of that work can be found at my CO2 Science website, http://www.co2science.org). In all those activities I have come to know that, far from being a pollutant, this colorless, odorless, tasteless and invisible gas benefits the biosphere in a multitude of ways. And I want to share that knowledge with you!

To accomplish this objective, over the next several months I will be publishing a series of articles describing several key benefits atmospheric CO2 enrichment provides to both humanity and nature. The articles will explore topics such as the effects of CO2 on plant growth and water use efficiency, a CO2-induced greening of the planet, the monetary benefits of rising CO2 on crop yields, and much, much more. Look for the postings at a rate of about two per month.

Sadly, most of the population remains woefully unaware of the many positive impacts of CO2 on the biosphere. This is no surprise, considering the constant and steady stream of misinformation our society endures from sources dedicated to demeaning and defaming CO2. What is more, world governments, non-governmental organizations, international agencies, societal think tanks, and even respectable scientific organizations attempting to assess the potential consequences of increasing atmospheric CO2 concentrations have spent hundreds of millions of dollars writing and promoting large reports about it.

Yet, these endeavors have failed miserably because they have neglected to evaluate or even acknowledge the manifold real and measurable benefits of the ongoing rise in the air’s CO2 content.  As a result, many important and positive impacts of atmospheric CO2 enrichment remain underappreciated and largely ignored in the debate over what to do, or not do, about anthropogenic CO2 emissions. And that omission does not bode well for policy decisions.

I hope you will join me on this informative journey as we explore the many benefits of CO2 and I hope you will share what you read and learn with others. Societal change occurs as individuals become informed one by one. Together we can help make that happen!

-Dr. Craig Idso

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CRAIG D. IDSO is the founder, former president, and currently chairman of the Center for the Study of Carbon Dioxide and Global Change. The Center was founded in 1998 as a non-profit public charity dedicated to discovering and disseminating scientific information pertaining to the effects of atmospheric carbon dioxide enrichment on climate and the biosphere. The Center produces the online newsletter, CO2 Science, and maintains a massive online collection of editorials on and reviews of peer-reviewed scientific journal articles relating to global climate change.

Dr. Idso’s research has appeared many times in peer-reviewed journals, including Geophysical Research Letters, Environmental and Experimental Botany, Forest Ecology and Management, Journal of Climate, Physical Geography, Atmospheric Environment, Technology, The Quarterly Review of Biology, Energy & Environment, and the Journal of the Arizona-Nevada Academy of Science.

Dr. Idso is the author or coauthor of several books, including The Many Benefits of Atmospheric CO2 Enrichment (Vales Lake Publishing, LLC, 2011), CO2, Global Warming and Species Extinctions (Vales Lake Publishing, LLC, 2009), CO2, Global Warming and Coral Reefs (Vales Lake Publishing, LLC, 2009); Enhanced or Impaired? Human Health in a CO2-Enriched Warmer World (Center for the Study of Carbon Dioxide and Global Change, 2003); and The Specter of Species Extinction: Will Global Warming Decimate Earth’s Biosphere? (George C. Marshall Institute, 2003). He contributed chapters to McKittrick, R. (Ed.), Critical Topics in Global Warming (Fraser Institute, 2009) and Encyclopedia of Soil Science (Marcel Dekker, 2002). Dr. Idso has also produced several short video works and three feature-length documentaries, Carbon Dioxide and the Climate Crisis: Reality or Illusion? (2008), Carbon Dioxide and the Climate Crisis: Avoiding Plant and Animal Extinctions (2008), and Carbon Dioxide and the Climate Crisis: Doing the Right Thing (2008).

In 2009, Dr. Idso became the lead author and editor for the Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC), overseeing a team of internationally renowned scientists in the production of several major reports on climate change. Those reports include Climate Change Reconsidered: The 2009 Report of the Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC), Climate Change Reconsidered: 2011 Interim Report, Climate Change Reconsidered II: Physical Science, and Climate Change Reconsidered II: Biological Impacts. His most recent work with NIPCC is encapsulated in its 2019 report, Climate Change Reconsidered II: Fossil Fuels, where he contributed as a lead or contributing author on several chapters.

Dr. Idso received a B.S. in Geography from Arizona State University, an M.S. in Agronomy from the University of Nebraska - Lincoln, and a Ph.D. in Geography from Arizona State University, where he also studied as one of a small group of University Graduate Scholars. Prior work positions have included Director of Environmental Science at Peabody Energy in St. Louis, Missouri; faculty researcher in the Office of Climatology at Arizona State University; and lecturer in Meteorology at Arizona State University.

Dr. Idso’s professional associations have included membership in the American Association for the Advancement of Science, American Geophysical Union, American Meteorological Society, Arizona-Nevada Academy of Sciences, Association of American Geographers, Ecological Society of America, Geological Society of America, and The Honor Society of Phi Kappa Phi. Dr. Idso has also served as an adjunct scholar for the Cato Institute and he is presently a policy advisor for the CO2 Coalition, the Heartland Institute, and the Committee For A Constructive Tomorrow.

Posted on 04/09 at 12:47 PM
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