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Sunday, May 01, 2011
Utterly Predictable

By Kenneth Green, IPCC Reviewer

While the climate is largely unpredictable, the actions of climate-change catastrophists are utterly predictable. When I heard about the wave of tornadoes that devastated the South, I predicted (to my wife) that they would quickly be attributed to climate change by activists seeking (as they regularly do) to capitalize on human death and misery to advance their political agenda.

Well, that didn’t take long. Over at Think Panic, er, Think Progress, the blog of the Center for American Panic, er, Progress, Brad Johnson posts:

“Given that global warming is unequivocal,” climate scientist Kevin Trenberth cautioned the American Meteorological Society in January of this year, “the null hypothesis should be that all weather events are affected by global warming rather than the inane statements along the lines of ‘of course we cannot attribute any particular weather event to global warming.’”

While I believe that the climate is changing and that human greenhouse-gas emissions cause some part of that change, the shrill attribution of things like Japan’s earthquake and tsunami to climate change, and tying the recent tornadoes to climate change, rings a bit like dialogue from Ghostbusters:

Dr. Peter Venkman: This city is headed for a disaster of biblical proportions.

Mayor: What do you mean, “biblical”?

Dr Ray Stantz: What he means is Old Testament, Mr. Mayor, real wrath of God type stuff.

Dr. Peter Venkman: Exactly.

Dr Ray Stantz: Fire and brimstone coming down from the skies! Rivers and seas boiling!

Dr. Egon Spengler: Forty years of darkness! Earthquakes, volcanoes…

Winston Zeddemore: The dead rising from the grave!

Dr. Peter Venkman: Human sacrifice, dogs and cats living together… mass hysteria!

Mayor: All right, all right! I get the point!

Of course, there is fiction, and there is reality. As Guillaume Decamme posts over at Physorg.com:

US meteorologists warned Thursday it would be a mistake to blame climate change for a seeming increase in tornadoes in the wake of deadly storms that have ripped through the US south.

“If you look at the past 60 years of data, the number of tornadoes is increasing significantly, but it’s agreed upon by the tornado community that it’s not a real increase,” said Grady Dixon, assistant professor of meteorology and climatology at Mississippi State University.

“It’s having to do with better (weather tracking) technology, more population, the fact that the population is better educated and more aware. So we’re seeing them more often,” Dixon said.

Posted on 05/01 at 02:07 PM
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