Frozen in Time
Feb 17, 2011
American Tradition Institute Praises NH Vote to Withdraw from RGGI

By Paul Chesser

The American Tradition Institute today praised yesterday’s overwhelming vote (13-5) by New Hampshire’s House Committee on Science, Technology, and Energy to withdraw the state from the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative.

“How appropriate it is that the state with the motto ‘Live Free or Die’ would take the lead in giving citizens back their energy freedom,” said Paul Chesser, executive director of ATI. “Schemes like RGGI and renewable portfolio standards force citizens to buy electricity from expensive, antiquated technology like wind and solar. At least we know now a few legislators have some common sense.”

New Hampshire Watchdog, an online news source, reported that the full House is likely to take the bill up next week. Both chambers of the state legislature, called the General Court in New Hampshire, have veto-proof Republican majorities. Gov. John Lynch is a Democrat and opposes withdrawal from RGGI. NH Watchdog reported that in a hearing, “Committee Republicans argued that the climate science cited to pass RGGI has been undermined, and that the program is a hidden tax on New Hampshire ratepayers.”

“Indeed, there has not been any credible analysis of RGGI to determine whether the benefits of participation outweigh the costs, or even to identify what kind of affect it will have on global climate,” Chesser said. “Isn’t that why they wanted to do this in the first place?”

“If lawmakers want to tax electricity in this manner, then it ought to be transparent and clearly identifiable in their bills,” Chesser added. “But let’s hope that the General Court just does away with it.”

For an interview with American Tradition Institute executive director Paul Chesser, call (202)670-2680 or email paul.chesser@atinstitute.org.

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Icecap Note: Repealing the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI)

This upcoming Wednesday, February 23, 2011, the RGGI bill will be voted on by the full House. This legislation, if passed, will remove New Hampshire from participation in the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (A regional Cap and Trade Program). The RGGI has proved to be a massive failure that is serving only to damage New Hampshire’s economic competitiveness; withdrawal can’t come soon enough!

If you are from New Hampshire, we encourage you to contact your legislator today and express your strong support for removing NH from this regional Cap and Tax program. Click here to find your representative and their contact information. New Hampshire residents have already spent $28.2 million in the last two years on this hidden government tax. 

Thank you ICECAP supporters for helping us support our efforts in states like New Hampshire. Two Icecap members attended and testified and provided support material to give the Science, Technology and Energy committee the courage to vote 13-5 to repeal RGGI. Your donation, entirely tax deductible will help us do more. We fully expect to be called to testify by state AGs or congressional committees in support of bills limiting the EPA and state initiatives like RGGI. There is usually no funding for the travel expenses involved at least from the government. The mulitmillion dollar NSF grant toting scientists on the other side get their expenses paid by their rent seeking universities for their testimony. Small donations add up.  Thanks again and if you can;’t help with donations do what your can within your state or country to battle back against the oportunists who have used this faux issue to line their pockets and want that gravy train to continue.

Feb 15, 2011
Is 2010 the Hottest Ever?

By Steve Goddard, SPPI Exclusive

Dr. James Hansen of NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) has announced that 2010 was the “hottest year on record” - by 0.01 degrees. His claim has been widely touted in the press as strong evidence that the climate is rapidly heating - due to human generated CO2 emissions. Dr. Hansen has also stated : “I would not be surprised if most or all groups found that 2010 was tied for the warmest year.”

But most groups do not support his claim. The other independent source of surface temperatures HadCRUT, shows 2010 cooler than 1998. The graph below shows the month to month differences. Blue represents months where 2010 was cooler than 1998.

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Enlarged.

The next graph shows the HadCRUT temperature anomalies for each year since 1998. Last year was not a remarkable year, and was not as warm as 1998.

image
Enlarged.

Similarly, full year satellite temperatures from RSS show 2010 monthly and annual anomalies lower than 1998.

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Enlarged.

Satellite data from UAH also shows 2010 slightly cooler than 1998.

The graph below shows 2010 monthly temperatures for each of the four primary data sets. As you can see, the month-to-month behavior of GISS global temperatures during 2010 was out of kilter with other data sources.

image
Enlarged.

Note that GISS (blue) showed a large temperature spike in March - which was not seen by others. And from July through November, GISS increased sharply while everyone else showed temperatures dropping - due to a near record cold La Nina. La Nina is indicated by ocean temperatures well below normal across much of the Pacific Ocean.

The November spike was followed in December by the largest month-to-month drop in the 130 year GISS record. What sudden change in the climate could have caused a sharp December drop after four months of rise? A plausible explanation is that the August-November reported GISS temperatures were too high, and that December came back more in line with reality.

NOAA shows that ocean surface temperatures across much of the Pacific have been the coldest on record since July (yet GISS temperatures rose sharply during that time.)

COMPARISONS VS. 1998

The HadCRUT graph below shows that 2010 was not a remarkable year for temperatures, and was cooler than 1998. In fact, HadCRUT also shows that temperatures have not warmed appreciably (if at all) since 1998.

image
Enlarged.

By contrast, Dr. Hansen claims that temperatures have increased steadily since the mid-1970s. “Global temperature is rising as fast in the past decade as in the prior two decades”

However, even his own data shows no significant trend since 1992, and chances are that the GISS January, 2011 anomaly will be one of the lowest of the past decade.

image
Enlarged.

The UK Met Office explicitly contradicts Dr. Hansen’s claim: “In the last 10 years the rate of warming has decreased.”

See reasons why Hansen is so hot and much more here.

Feb 14, 2011
EPA and APHA testimony to congress about global warming health threat - a critical review

Joseph D’Aleo, CCM, AMS Fellow

The EPA’s Lisa Jackson in her opening statement in front of congress this week said:

“Based on the best peer-reviewed science, EPA found in 2009 that manmade greenhouse gas emissions do threaten the health and welfare of the American people.” [THIS IS A REFERENCE TO the DECEMBER 2009 Endangerment Finding: see links BELOW to select comments submitted to the EPA]

Lynn Goldman of the APHA in testimony stated the following:

“Climate change is already dramatically affecting the health of people around the world especially in the developing world. According to the World Health Organization, an estimated 166,000 deaths and about 5.5 million disability-adjusted life years (DALYs, a measure of overall disease burden) were attributable to climate change in 2000.”

And concluded:

“Growing scientific consensus shows us that the climate is changing in ways that increasingly affect the health of people around the world. Because climate influences how people live, breathe and eat as well as the availability of water, populations everywhere, including the United States, may already be experiencing the health impacts of these changes. This is especially true among our most vulnerable populations, children, the elderly and the poor.

We cannot afford to delay or ignore addressing the health impacts of climate change.”
Reality Check:

Dr. Indur Goklany in Global public health: Global warming in perspective. Journal of American Physicians and Surgeons 14 (3): 69-75 (2009) responded to the quoted report.

“The methodology used in the WHO reports (Table 1 below, enlarged) to estimate mortality (and burden of disease) from global warming essentially is to assign fractions of deaths occurring from real causes (e.g., diarrhea and malaria) to hypothesized underlying risk factors (e.g., global warming). Thus, malnutrition (hunger) accounted for 52% of the DALYs attributed to global warming; diarrhea (from food and waterborne disease), 26%; malaria, 18%; flooding, 3%. In addition to 154,000 deaths in 2000 from diarrhea, malaria, dengue, flooding, and malnutrition assumed to result from climate change (global warming), the study from which this estimate was obtained added 12,000 deaths from presumed climate-change-induced cardiovascular disease. This estimate of 166,000 deaths in 2000 attributable to global warming was also the basis for the estimate provided in a 2005 review article in, which was then picked up and repeated in various influential publications.

image
Enlarged.

But these estimates are inherently uncertain, not least because, as noted by the researchers who developed them: Climate change occurs against a background of substantial natural climate variability, and its health effects are confounded by simultaneous changes in many other influences on population health. Empirical observation of the health consequences of long-term climate change, followed by formulation, testing and then modification of hypotheses would therefore require long time-series (probably several decades) of careful monitoring. While this process may accord with the canons of empirical science, it would not provide the timely information needed to inform current policy decisions on GHG emission abatement, so as to offset possible health consequences in the future.

That is, the analysis was guided more by the need to satisfy a policy agenda than rigorous scientific methodology. As a result, as the above quotation implicitly acknowledges, the estimates for global warming are based on, at best, poorly validated models.”

And in Deaths and Death Rates from Extreme Weather Events: 1900-2008. Journal of American Physicians and Surgeons 14 (4): 102-09 (2009), he shows global death and death rates declining (below, enlarged).

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In the study he concludes: “Current deaths and death rates from extreme weather events for both the U.S. and the globe are, in general, lower than in previous decades. Predictably, annual death rates have declined more rapidly than annual deaths, confirming results from previous studies. This indicates that the total risk of death from such events has actually declined, notwithstanding any increases in the number or intensity of extreme weather events that some claim to have occurred. Globally as well as for the United States, the aggregate contribution of extreme weather events to the mortality burden is currently minor - on the order of 0.06%.”

Also see:

Discounting the Future, Regulation 32: 36-40 (Spring 2009).

Is Climate Change the “Defining Challenge of Our Age”? Energy & Environment 20(3): 279-302 (2009).

PDF

Here are some of the comments filed to the EPA on their endangerment finding. Here was a submission that combined many different comments I made to the EPA. Here also is a powerful letter to the EPA signed by 35 scientists that challenged the science used in making their endangerment finding on 18 major points. 

Feb 14, 2011
Why Wind Won’t Work

Submission to Australian Senate Enquiry by Viv Forbes, Carbon Sense Coalition

Here is an excellent summary of all the issues with wind power, why it hasn’t worked and won’t work for meeting future energy needs and why environmentalists and politicians push it despite that fact to achieve other agendas. It is a must read.

Why are governments still mollycoddling wind power?

There is no proof that wind farms reduce carbon dioxide emissions and it is ludicrous to believe that a few windmills in Australia are going to improve global climate.

Such wondrous expressions of green faith put our politicians on par with those who believe in the tooth fairy.

The wind is free but wind power is far from it. Its cost is far above all conventional methods of generating electricity.

Tax payers funding this “Wind Welfare” and consumers paying the escalating power bills are entitled to demand proof.

Not only is there no climate justification for wind farms, but they are also incapable of supplying reliable or economical power.

It is also surprising those who claim to be defenders of the environment can support this monstrous desecration of the environment.

image

Wind power is so dilute that to collect a significant quantity of wind energy will always require thousands of gigantic towers each with a massive concrete base and a network of interconnecting heavy duty roads and transmission lines. It has a huge land footprint.

Then the operating characteristics of turbine and generator mean that only a small part of the wind’s energy can be captured.

Finally, when they go into production, wind turbines slice up bats and eagles, disturb neighbours, endanger health, reduce property values and start bushfires.

Wind power is intermittent, unreliable and hard to predict. To cover the total loss of power when the wind drops or blows too hard, every wind farm needs a conventional back-up power station (commonly gas-fired) with capacity of twice the design capacity of the wind farm to even out the sudden fluctuations in the electricity grid. This adds to the capital and operating costs and increases the instability of the network.

Why bother with the wind farm - just build the backup and achieve lower costs and better reliability?

There is no justification for continuing the complex network of state and federal subsidies, mandates and tax breaks that currently underpin construction of wind farms in Australia. If wind power is sustainable it will be developed without these financial crutches.

Wind power should compete on an equal basis with all other electricity generation options.

Europe Pulling the Plug on Green Energy Subsidies

“The Spanish and Germans are doing it. So are the French. The British might have to do it. Austerity-whacked Europe is rolling back subsidies for renewable energy as economic sanity makes a tentative comeback. Green energy is becoming unaffordable and may cost as many jobs as it creates.

But the real victims are the investors who bought into the dream of endless, clean energy financed by the taxpayer. They forgot that governments often change their minds.” Eric Reguly, The Globe and Mail, 27 Jan 2011. Reported in CCNet 28 Jan 2011.

See the full report and copy and distribute to friends and family. It should make you and them rethink wind as a solution and start objecting to those in power who push it.

Feb 12, 2011
Cap-trade issue heats up hearing

By Kevin Landrigan, Nashua Telegraph

A legislative bid for New Hampshire to pull out of a 10-state, regional greenhouse gas initiative turned into an ideological war Thursday over the credibility of the science of climate change.

But Gov. John Lynch tried to steer the debate to one of dollars and cents, warning that repeal of the 3-year-old law would hit businesses and consumers in the wallet.

“Withdrawing from RGGI would be a blow to our economy and to our state’s efforts to become more energy efficient and energy independent,” Lynch wrote to the House Science Technology and Energy Committee, which hosted an all-day hearing on the repeal bill (HB 519) in Representatives Hall.

New Hampshire became the last of the states in the region to sign onto RGGI, which makes polluters buy allowances for carbon dioxide emissions that studies show contribute to greenhouse gases.

Jessica O’Hare, program associated at Environment New Hampshire, said this form of cap-and-trade encourages businesses to change New Hampshire’s status as one of the top five states in consumption of oil per capita. “It helps New Hampshire reduce our reliance on oil and other fossil fuels,” O’Heare said. “This will make the state more economically secure and reduce pollution.”

Joseph D’Aleo, a Hudson meterologist and climatologist said CO2 is not a pollutant but a beneficial gas and these programs have no measurable effect on climate. “RGGI represents the epitome of all-pain-and-no-gain scenario,” D’Aleo said.

Eric Werme, a Boscawen software engineer and climate enthusiast, agreed and said ocean currents have had much more to do with affecting climate and warming of the planet than any man-made program to encourage reduction of emissions.

“I consider it premature for government to try and influence any restriction on CO2 emissions at this point,” Werme said.

But Kenneth Colburn of Stonyfield Farm Yogurt in Londonderry, said the program has already led to $21 million worth of energy efficiencies and 1,130 jobs. Repeal of the program would hurt the state economically, he warned. “This will increase costs on New Hampshire businesses and citizens and provide them with no accompanying benefit whatsoever,” said Colburn, a former state director of air resources.

“This is hardly the New Hampshire way, and would detract from rather than contribute to the New Hampshire advantage.” Lynch maintained since RGGI began, it has cost consumers $11 million and delivered $28 million in benefits.

Current Air Resources Director David Scott said RGGI is a modest program that encourages and does not punish businesses regarding their emissions.
“RGGI was never meant to solve the climate change issue; it was meant to be a modest, unique program and it has been,” Scott added. Post here.

Icecap Note: with required purchase of allowances the costs for electricity/energy prices rise, which has a ripple effect, translating into higher costs for manufacturing and transportation and for running retail and service business and thus higher costs for all goods and services. That is a stealth tax. Like in the Federal Goverenment, the ‘benefits’ go to inflated bureaucracies and subsidized industries - like alternative energy and energy efficiency corporations. The state does not need to tax indiustry and consumers to provide these businesses relief, just reduce their tax liability. If their businesses make sense, they will survive. In many of the other states in the northeast under RGGI, money from allowances goes into the general fund, to fund state business and reduce huge deficits. It is on top of state taxes. Attached are the two presentations submitted to the committee here and here. Here was a great introductory statement by Andrew Manuse, a legislator to the committee.

The Bangor Daily news reported NH last year raided the funds to help pay for other state spending. They are not alone. You can’t trust bureacrats to spend tax dollars wisely or as they originally promised.

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