Political Climate
Dec 05, 2014
Gruberization of Climate

By Joseph D’Aleo

Despite the administration and mainstream media’s continued emphasis on so called ‘global warming’ to support their ideological agendas, there are many scientists around the world who strive to educate the populace through editorials, interviews and debates on the real climate change story. One such person, Dr. Gordon Fulks, worked with me and other scientists on amicus briefs to the DC Circuit and Supreme Court on the failed science of the UN and EPA.

In debates, he has had to fight the arguments that the science is settled with 97% in agreement and the 18 year pause does not exist with this year being the warmest year on record. These claims are fabricated.

The 97% claim of support among scientists is complete fraud.  The Petition Project, which collected the signatures of 31,000 American scientists, 9,000 of us with PhDs, demonstrated that the claims of overwhelming support are completely bogus.  Support among scientists who earn their living from climate hysteria is probably that high but not among those with similar training who do not. 

A study of the professional members of the American Meteorological Society (Stenhouse, et al., BAMS 2013) showed support at about 50%, depending on the question asked.  A recent study by Legates et al showed support for the most extreme positions that CO2 is causing everything and we are headed for catastrophe is less than 1%. 

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Temperatures have flat-lined in all the satellite and ground based data sets for an average of 18 years.

Using the actual data that goes into the forecast models used for the 7 day forecasts you see on TV and the internet, we find the global anomaly was a mere +0.07C in November and for the year to date a measly +0.11C, far short of the +0.68C warmest ever anomaly that NOAA claimed last month. One modeler told me “It was obvious to me since about April that NOAA had decided that 2014 was going to be the hottest year ever. The White House needed this for their political objectives.” It appears Gruber’s ideas have legs.

Gordon published an editorial last week and gave me permission to repost it.

Politics and alarmism have no place in climate science

By Dr.Gordon J. Fulks

When Professor Chris Folland of the British Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research said: “The data doesn’t matter. We’re not basing our recommendations on the data. We’re basing them on the climate models,” he was being exceedingly honest about the way alarmists view science.

Because of the subsequent uproar, he is now willing to admit some role for robust scientific data. But he still seems unable to clearly separate storytelling and computer simulations from real science. He should know that if it is not anchored in logic and evidence, it is not science. Non-scientists may find this difficult to understand, because they have been fed a steady diet of climate alarmism from the media. Tall tales, anchored in “consensus” (politics) and “belief” (religion), are not science.

Appropriate scientific education is also lacking among prominent alarmists such as Dr. Rajendra Pachauri, chairman of the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, and Dr. Ralph Cicerone, president of the National Academy of Sciences. Railroad and electrical engineers should be able to understand this topic, but these two certainly do not.

Past presidents of the NAS who were genuine scientists, such as Dr. Philip Handler, had a better understanding: “Scientists best serve public policy by living within the ethics of science, not those of politics. If the scientific community will not unfrock the charlatans, the public will not discern the difference - science and the nation will suffer.”

What about Folland? It turns out that he has only a bachelor’s degree in physics, hardly enough education to be a real professor. Yet he has won many awards for adhering to the paradigm. Could he be correct that climate simulations actually work? A report by alarmists in the Proceedings of the NAS (Santer 2012) contained the striking admission that their models are high by a factor of two in predicting the global temperature trend. Of course, that admission was buried where no one saw it. Another critique by climatologist Dr. John Christy showed that the models are wrong by a factor of 3.5 in the tropical mid-troposphere where there is supposed to be a “hotspot” caused by carbon dioxide warming. Robust satellite and radiosonde data show no hotspot.

What about the “unusual warming recently” claimed by President Barack Obama’s National Climate Assessment 2014? The only thing unusual has been the lack of global warming for more than 15 years. The Arctic did warm more than any other region after 1975, the tropics only slightly and the Antarctic not at all. But the Arctic also warmed significantly after 1900, to a peak around 1940 that was warmer than today. Surprise! Our climate is cyclical over decades! That’s an ocean effect, not a CO2 effect.

With climate models that do not work, with a missing hotspot, and no net global warming in a long while, the government’s scientific case for alarm strikes out. The San Francisco Examiner had it right in 1888: “There is no joy in Mudville, mighty Casey has struck out.”

Gordon J. Fulks, Ph.D, holds a doctorate in physics from the University of Chicago, Laboratory for Astrophysics and Space Research.

Finally, in response to a recent HLN letter championing the UN and saying their work by 2000 scientists says my presented facts must be wrong, I post a link to this story by TV Meteorologist and college professor Art Horn. Art has appeared with me on Hudson Cable TV hour long climate discussions.  http://icecap.us/index.php/go/political-climate/ipcc_5th_assessment_is_very_confident_that_theyre_not_sure/.

And in this post, http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/04/26/two-scathing-reviews-by-scholars-working-with-the-ipcc-show-why-the-organization-is-hopelessly-corrupted-by-politics/, read how two well known IPCC lead authors quit the IPCC during the attempts to prepare the latest Summary for Policymakers because they felt the science was being seriously corrupted by politics. They are just the latest in the growing list of IPCC scientists who quit because they did not want their name associated with the UN reports.

A better alternative to the IPCC report for policy decisions is the NIPCC Climate Change Reconsidered report that has reviewed thousands of peer reviewed papers and comes to a non alrming conclusion.



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