Political Climate
Mar 31, 2014
IPCC exaggerates risks: NIPCC Opposing view

By Joseph D’Aleo, CCM

In its usual over the top fantasy world special report by the committee chaired by Chris Fields, the IPCC projects dire consequences for agriculture and the environment. They claim the risks from extreme weather events, including heat waves and flooding are also high at 1C.

Now considering that Kentucky is 2.1C warmer than neighbor Illinois, that has to be the most ridiculous statement ever made by an agenda driven. How could they sleep at night knowing what they say is totally bogus. Oh I forgot the billions of dollars in grants at stake. Also no changes in droughts, floods, and declines in heat waves, tornadoes and hurricanes have occurred. But never mind the real world. We live in a virtual computer world.

This is the world their computer models, failing miserably project for a 3F increase.

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The NIPCC report on environmental consequences shows the very opposite has occcurred with the gentle warming 1979 to 1998 and the stable temperatures (starting a precipitous decline) since. CO2 is a plant fertilizer. They pump it into greenhouses. The increase in CO2 with improved hybrid seeds has resulted in a 3 to 5 fold increase in yields for rice, corn, wheat and beans worldwide, allowing us to feed more people. Until the recent turn to colder, the growing areas have expanded not been displaced with more production from Canada and Russia.

Here is the NIPCC finding based on real world data and studies not tinker toy models. “Global-Warming / Climate Change POLICY, not the weather, is a threat to National Security in the UK and Europe; Miliband’s (a UK alarmist like Fields) claims are as deluded as the charge of the light brigade” - Piers Corbyn

Biological Impacts Summary

* Atmospheric carbon dioxide is not a pollutant. It is a non-toxic, non-irritating, and natural component of the atmosphere. Long-term CO2 enrichment studies confirm the findings of
shorter-term experiments, demonstrating numerous growth-enhancing, water-conserving, and stress alleviating effects of elevated atmospheric CO2 on plants growing in both terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems.

* The ongoing rise in the air’s CO2 content is causing a great greening of the Earth. All across the planet, the historical increase in the atmosphere’s CO2 concentration has stimulated vegetative productivity. This observed stimulation, or greening of the Earth, has occurred in spite of many real and imagined assaults on Earth’s vegetation, including fires, disease, pest outbreaks, deforestation, and climatic change.

* There is little or no risk of increasing food insecurity due to global warming or rising atmospheric CO2 levels. Farmers and others who depend on rural livelihoods for income are benefitting from rising agricultural productivity throughout the world, including in parts of Asia and Africa where the need for increased food supplies is most critical. Rising temperatures and atmospheric CO2 levels play a key role in the realization of such benefits.

: Terrestrial ecosystems have thrived throughout the world as a result of warming temperatures and rising levels of atmospheric CO2. Empirical data pertaining to numerous animal species, including amphibians, birds, butterflies, other insects, reptiles, and mammals, indicate global warming and its myriad ecological effects tend to foster the expansion and proliferation of animal habitats, ranges, and populations, or otherwise have no observable impacts one way or the other. Multiple lines of evidence indicate animal species are adapting, and in some cases evolving, to cope with climate change of the modern era.

* Rising temperatures and atmospheric CO2 levels do not pose a significant threat to aquatic life. Many aquatic species have shown considerable tolerance to temperatures and CO2 values predicted for the next few centuries, and many have demonstrated a likelihood of positive responses in empirical studies. Any projected adverse impacts of rising temperatures or declining seawater and freshwater pH levels ("acidification") will be largely mitigated through phenotypic adaptation or evolution during the many decades to centuries it is expected to take for pH levels to fall.

* A modest warming of the planet will result in a net reduction of human mortality from temperature-related events. More lives are saved by global warming via the amelioration of cold-related deaths than those lost under excessive heat. Global warming will have a negligible influence on human morbidity and the spread of infectious diseases, a phenomenon observed in virtually all parts of the world.

Source: Idso, C.D., Idso, S.B., Carter, R.M., and Singer, S.F. (Eds.) 2014. Climate Change Reconsidered II: Biological Impacts. Chicago, IL: The Heartland Institute.

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“One has to free oneself from the illusion that international climate policy is environmental policy.” Instead, climate change policy is about how “we redistribute de facto the world’s wealth.” UN IPCC official Ottmar Edenhofer in November 2010

As an PhD engineer/scientist suggested:

Both the global economy and the global atmospheric systems are extremely large, complex, dynamic and chaotic. Both systems have many relationships that are well understood by economists and scientists, but both have far more relationships that are not understood or not even known at this time. But unlike science, the discipline of economics readily admits (and sees on a daily basis) that the global system is not understood and is not predictable.

Climate scientists may argue that the global atmosphere is far more complex than the global economy and should not be compared. But if that is the case then they should also admit that they also do not fully understand what is a far more complex system. Economics has been a discipline of study for centuries while atmospheric studies has really only been around for several decades. If the economy is less complex, yet economic analysts acknowledge they do not fully understand it, then climate scientists should acknowledge that they do not understand how the far more complex climate system works.

Analogy:

One way to help people understand the absurdity of the outsized impact “scientists” are putting on CO2 is to make the following analogy.

The argument made by the global warming alarmists is that the increasing levels of CO2 is having an enhanced warming impact on the atmosphere. The impact is such that the 0.04% of the atmosphere is driving substantial changes in the rest of the atmosphere. It is the proverbial tail wagging the dog.

Considering this in the context of the global economy, the country of Latvia represents about 0.04% of the global GDP. There is no economist on earth who would credibly claim that even outsized (non-natural) changes in the economy of Latvia would drive global GDP trends. Ever. Yet that is the same type of argument the climate scientists are making about CO2.

Given all the back and forth on this I thought this would be a good analogy to show the absurdity of the climate scientists alarmism. Global GDP = Global Atmosphere, Latvia = CO2!!



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