By Roger Pielke Sr.
A news article appeared today titled
‘Snowtober’ fits U.N. climate change predictions
The article starts with the text
While the Northeast is still reeling from a surprise October snowstorm that has left more than a million people without power for days, the United Nations is about to release its latest document on adaptation to climate change.
The report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change is expected conclude that there is a high probability that man-made greenhouse gases already are causing extreme weather that has cost governments, insurers, businesses and individuals billions of dollars. And it is certain to predict that costs due to extreme weather will rise and some areas of the world will become more perilous places to live.
The historic snowstorm in the northeast United States a few days ago was due to an unusually far south Polar jet stream for this time of the year, and colder than average temperatures associated with the east coast storm. To claim that this event fits with the IPCC climate change predictions is ridiculous. The article reads as an op-ed in the guise of a news article.
Steve Goddard responds:
Here are the actual IPCC forecasts
2001 15.2.4.1.2.4. Ice Storms: “Milder winter temperatures will decrease heavy snowstorms” IPCC Draft 1995
And from the east coast - New York Times shrinking snow cover in winter.
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The CO2 greenhouse warming theory is flawed. Not only has warming stopped in the atmosphere and ocean but the oceans can absorb readily anything we throw into the air. CO2 is a trace gas already. the oceans have an infintite capacity to remove it from the air when coolling accelerates.
Also note how in this experiment, Geologist Tom Segalstad shoots down the long lifetime for atmospheric CO2 assumed by the IPCC and their tinkertoy climate models.
An eloquent experiment by geologist Tom Segalstad, dramatic proof of the rapid absorption of CO2 by water. The calcium carbonate touch is inspired!
Segalstad explains:
This video shows that a candle floating on water, burning in the air inside a glass, converts the oxygen in the air to CO2. The water rises in the glass because the CO2, which replaced the oxygen, is quickly dissolved in the water. The water contains calcium ions Ca++, because we initially dissolved calcium hydroxide Ca(OH)2 in the water. The CO2 produced during oxygen burning reacts with the calcium ions to produce solid calcium carbonate CaCO3, which is easily visible as a whitening of the water when we switch on a flashlight. This little kitchen experiment demonstrates the inorganic carbon cycle in nature.
The oceans take out our anthropogenic CO2 gas by quickly dissolving it as bicarbonate HCO3-, which in turn forms solid calcium carbonate either organically in calcareous organisms or precipitates inorganically. The CaCO3 is precipitating and not dissolving during this process, because buffering in the ocean maintains a stable pH around 8. We also see that CO2 reacts very fast with the water, contrary to the claim by the IPCC that it takes 50 - 200 years for this to happen. Try this for yourself in your kitchen! (OR CLASSROOM).