Political Climate
Apr 13, 2008
Hurricane Expert: ‘Models are Simply Not Faithfully Reproducing What Nature is Doing’

Commentary by Marc Morano

Prominent hurricane scientist (MIT’s Kerry Emanuel) has publicly reversed his view on global warming’s impact on hurricanes. (See: Hurricane expert reconsiders global warming’s impact).

Emanuel told the NY Times: “The models are telling us something quite different from what nature seems to be telling us. There are various interpretations possible, e.g. a) The big increase in hurricane power over the past 30 years or so may not have much to do with global warming, or b) The models are simply not faithfully reproducing what nature is doing. Hard to know which to believe yet.”

Houston Chronicle Reporter Attempts to Interpret Emanuel’s Reconsideration of hurricane views (April 11, 2008). On his SciGuy blog, Eric (Berger reporter for the Houston Chronicle) tried to downplay the significance of Emanuel’s conversion in the global warming debate. Berger wrote: “This should put to rest a lot of the nonsense about a global warming conspiracy among scientists. Emanuel, faced with new evidence, has moderated his viewpoint. That’s what responsible scientists do, and most are responsible. [Note: Yes, Mr. Berger, it is quite impressive that Emanuel looked at the hard evidence and reconsidered his views.  The scientific community still awaits “responsible” reconsideration of climate views from many prominent promoters of warming fears. Paging James Hansen, Michael Oppenheimer, and Stephen Schneider, to name a few.] Berger wrote: “The amount of scientist-bashing when it comes to global warming is generally quite deplorable.” [Note: Agreed. Sadly, it is almost exclusively one-sided and emanates from the promoters of man-made global warming fears.  See this report for full details on the well funded smear machine that the climate alarmists employ.]

Berger wrote: “If you’re a skeptic, and you welcome these results, please remember that these are the same climate models you bash when they show global temperatures steadily rising during the next century.” [Note: Nice try Mr. Berger, but you came up way short on this point. Emanuel himself speculated that “the models are simply not faithfully reproducing what nature is doing.” Which do you believe; models which even the promoters concede are not “forecasts” or real world data? You see, Mr. Berger, evidence based data trumps the virtual world of computer models every time.]

[Note: Emanuel’s conversion is a very important new development in the climate debate. First, 2007 turned out to be the “tipping point” for global warming fears, 2008 continued appears to be the year of vindication for skeptics as many prominent scientists reversed their climate views and more and more skeptical scientists speak out and new data debunked man-made climate fears. Now another major scientist reconsiders his views on a significant aspect of man-made climate fears. MIT’s Kerry Emanuel’s views on hurricanes and global warming have been prominently cited by Gore and other promoters of climate fear.  With the new evidence based data flowing in, it is no wonder Gore is being forced to spend $300 million to attempt to once again scare the public. An Oscar, a Nobel and a compliant media all proved woeful at convincing the public to believe in Gore’s “climate crisis.”

The Earth’s failure to continue warming has also confounded promoters of man-made climate fear. Here is a sampling of inconvenient developments for climate alarmists in 2008 alone: 1) Oceans Cooling! Scientists puzzled by ”mystery of global warming’s missing heat” 2) New Data from NASA’s Aqua satellite is showing ”greatly reduced future warming projected as a consequence of carbon dioxide."3) Former NASA Climatologist Dr. Roy Spencer found not one peer-reviewed paper has ‘ruled out a natural cause for most of our recent warmth’ 4) UN IPCC in ‘Panic Mode’ as Earth Fails to Warm, Scientist says 5) UN IPCC Chairman Rajendra Pachauri ”to look into the apparent temperature plateau so far this century.” 6) New scientific analysis shows Sun “could account for as much as 69% of the increase in Earth’s average temperature.  7) An International team of scientists released a March 2008 report to counter UN IPCC, declaring: “Nature, Not Human Activity, Rules the Climate” 8) MIT Climate Scientist Dr. Richard Lindzen’s new analysis finds the Earth has had “No statistically significant warming since 1995.”

Apr 13, 2008
CBO Report Exposes Lieberman-Warner Bill’s $1.2 Trillion Tax Increase

By Matthew Dempsey and Marc Morano, EPW Minority Blog

Sen. James Inhofe (R-Okla.), Ranking Member of the Environment & Public Works Committee, today commented on the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) cost estimate for the America’s Climate Security Act - S. 2191 (Lieberman-Warner) global warming cap-and-trade bill. 

“Today’s CBO analysis reveals that the Lieberman-Warner bill will impose a $1.2 trillion tax increase over the next 10 years,” Senator Inhofe said. “As the economy continues to face uncertain times and as energy prices soar, this new analysis shows once again why this bill is wrong for America. CBO also says the bill would increase entitlement spending by $1.3 trillion over the next 10 years.

“Senator Boxer just does not get it. Recognizing the tremendous burden this bill would have on the economy, she is attempting to use fuzzy math to cover up the enormous tax increase American families will face. Knowing the bill as reported out of the EPW Committee would add significantly to the deficit, the sponsors of the bill slipped a secret amendment to CBO in order to claim the bill would have no impact on the federal budget. They hope the American public will focus on this budget gimmick instead of the enormous tax increase that this bill would impose. Adding insult to injury, hundreds of billions of the new entitlement spending will be controlled by an unaccountable seven person board.” See this release here.

See also how Democrats Face ‘Ferocious Infighting’ Over Global Warming Legislation in 2008 in this post Boxer-Dingell Differences Likely Mean No Global Warming Bill in 2008,

Apr 11, 2008
Blog Bully Crows over BBC Climate Victory, Icecap Response

By Andrew Orlowski, The Register

Bullying bloggers are no strangers to online media - especially when they’re Single Issue Fanatics (SIF). “They’re deeply emotional, they’re bullies, and they often don’t get out enough,” the BBC’s Adam Curtis noted here last year. This week, campaigner Jo Abbess is boasting about how she browbeat the BBC into modifying a story about Global Warming. The BBC has defended the changes to its story.
Abbess swung into action on Friday after the BBC’s Roger Harrabin reported comments by World Meteorological Organisation secretary general Michel Jarraud. In a story titled “Global temperatures ‘to decrease’”, Harrabin wrote: “The World Meteorological Organisation’s secretary-general, Michel Jarraud, told the BBC it was likely that La Nina would continue into the summer. This would mean global temperatures have not risen since 1998, prompting some to question climate change theory.”

La Nina is the cooling phase of what’s called the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), which affects the sea surface in the central and eastern Equatorial Pacific. Nina alternates with El Nino, which raises temperatures. We’re entering the Niņa phase. Global temperatures have been static from their 1998 peak, when El Nino peaked.

It’s nicely illustrated by this graph of the ENSO cycle which also shows how foolish it is to extrapolate anything from short-term trends. 

The plateau in temperature this century was acknowledged by IPCC chief Dr. Rajendra Pachauri back in January.”

That is when alarmist Jo Abbess started her assault that got the journalist to capitulate and change his story, The story was first broke by Jennifer Marohasy on here blog here and reported by Glenn Beck in his CNN Headline News television show with a segment that included Noel Sheppard of Newsbusters. Read more of the Register story here. Read more of the email exchange and the reaction from within the activist campaign here.

See why using that chart and argument now opens up the AGW crowd to the ultimate falsification of their flawed theory in the ICECAP RESPONSE here. See combination of the story and response here.

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