A new study’s found a natural cause may account for much of the recent dramatic thawing of the Arctic region in addition to man-made global warming. New research published in the journal Nature indicates a natural and cyclical increase in the amount of energy in the atmosphere that moves from south to north around the Arctic Circle. But scientists say that energy transfer, which comes with storms that head north because of ocean currents isn’t acting alone. Another upcoming study concludes that the combination of that natural energy transfer increase and man-made global warming serves as a one-two punch that’s pushing the Arctic over the edge with melting sea ice, ice sheets and glaciers. Read more here.
German research Vessel POLARSTERN in the arctic ice
See this link for fact sheet with more recent papers on this issue. We also commented on it here on Icecap here. Finally see this story of the record fast ice refreeze during the fall. Here’s how NASA explains the record re-growth of ice over that 10-day period in October and November: Record sea ice growth rates after a record low may sound surprising at first, but it is not completely unexpected. The more ice that survives the summer melt, the less open water there is for new ice to grow. When summertime ice extent hits a record low, on the other hand, large areas of open water provide room for the ice to grow once temperatures cool off enough. While summer warming of the upper ocean surface can cause wintertime sea ice regrowth to lag initially, as the fall season progresses and sunlight weakens, the rate of energy loss from the ocean increases. That heat loss coupled with a large area of open water creates ideal conditions for sea ice to form rapidly over large areas. Note currently the arctic ice has returned to normal extent.
See full size image here.
Excerpts ftom this humorous yet insightful piece by William York in Online Opinion.
The bylaws, Newton’s Laws of Experts, are as follows:
First Law: every expert persists in his state of rest or opinion unless acted upon by an external grant
Second Law: the rate of change of opinion is directly proportional to the applied grant
Third Law: for every expert there is an equal and opposite expert.
The present major concern of society is climate change. Why this is so is best understood in the words of H.L.Mencken, the Sage of Baltimore: “The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.” The effect of the political interest in climate change has been the violation of Newton’s Third Law.
From the above analysis, it is a firm conclusion that the climate change debate is distorted in its presentation and that its alleged scientific conclusions are unsound. Only when the Third Law is satisfied will we finally understand. This writer would not like to estimate how long this will take. Rather he would suggest that we all heed the advice of another sage, this time from Hollywood, where Sam Goldwyn is supposed to have said that he never liked making predictions, particularly about the future. Read more here.
Investor’s Business Daily Possibilities for 2008
If 2007 was the Year of Al Gore, with his movie, Academy Award and Nobel Prize, 2008 just might be the year the so-called scientific consensus that man is causing the Earth to warm begins to crack.
The fissures started to show in 2007: Prominent French physicist Claude Allegre called Gore a crook and equates Gore’s French followers with religious zealots. Weather Channel founder and meteorologist John Coleman said global warming is “the greatest scam in history.” Gore continued to duck open invitations to debate his theory. More than 400 scientists disputed the global warming claims.
Though they were shut out of the meeting, dissenting scientists were able to get a bit of media attention at the December climate conference in Bali.
Richard Lindzen, professor of atmospheric science at Massachusetts Institute of Technology, told us that it will take several years for the climate change scare to finally die. But the death spiral will begin at some point, and it looks like the spinning will start in ‘08.